Forex trading allows investors to profit from price fluctuations in fiat currencies. However, some Forex market hours and months present better opportunities than others. Forex markets are more volatile in certain hours, days and months than others. While long-term investors don’t care much for these details, knowing when volatility arrives can set traders up for massive paydays if they make the right trades. This guide will unveil the best months to trade forex.
Why Are Certain Months Better to Trade Forex Than Others?
Some months are better than others due to liquidity and volatility. Traders need high liquidity to enter and exit positions with favorable bid-ask spreads, while low liquidity can make it more costly.
Volatility is another factor. When traders are more active, price fluctuations become sharper. Traders don’t profit from flat price movements. They need the spikes and dips that volatility provides. Some months tend to be more volatile than others.
The optimal mix is volatility and high trading volume. This dynamic results in sharp price movements and reasonable bid-ask spreads.
Optimal Months for Forex Trading
Some months are better than others for forex trading, but these months stand out as great opportunities.
January to May
Forex traders are usually more active during these months. That creates price fluctuations and high liquidity, resulting in low bid-ask spreads. Many economic reports during these initial months can create meaningful price movements. Forex traders call these months the “boom period” due to their trading opportunities.
September to December
Traders return to work after summer vacation and become more active near the end of the year. Autumn months provide plenty of volatility and liquidity. Furthermore, some traders may sell unprofitable positions near the end of the year to reduce their capital gains. However, you’ll want to get most of your trades in before the second half of December. Trading volume slows down near the end of the year as market participants take holiday breaks.
Months to Approach with Caution
While the start of the year and the Autumn months offer plenty of liquidity and volatility, this setup depends on many market participants. Some months tend to have fewer market participants, which creates more risk for day traders.
June to August
Forex traders call this period the “snoozing phase” since many market participants go on vacation and spend more time with their families. The kids are out of school, and long 1-2 week vacations will come up in more people’s schedules. These months are less predictable due to low liquidity. While low liquidity can still bring forth volatility, traders must navigate less favorable bid-ask spreads.
Ideal Days and Times for Trading
Just as there are optimal months for forex trading, some days are also better than others. These are the best days for forex trading.
- Midweek trading (Tuesday to Thursday): These days typically offer higher volatility and better trading opportunities.
- Optimal trading hours: The overlap between the U.S. and London markets, specifically from 8 a.m. to noon EST, is considered the best time to trade due to increased trading volume and liquidity.
Times to Avoid Trading
Some times are better than others when it comes to forex trading. These are times that offer fewer opportunities to profit.
- Monday mornings and Friday afternoons: These periods often exhibit lower volatility and unpredictable market behavior.
- When you aren’t up to trading: The Forex 3-session system makes forex markets open throughout the day. However, you shouldn’t be trading at midnight or 1 am if you’re not feeling up to it. If you’re too tired to trade or feel stressed about recent market events, it may be good to take a small break.
- Post-Holiday sessions and major news events: Trading immediately after global holidays or during high-impact news releases can lead to erratic market movements.
Getting the Timing Right with Forex Trading
Forex trading requires timing price fluctuations and exiting trades at the right time. Some months offer more liquidity and volatility, creating optimal scenarios for forex traders. The bookends of the year and the middle of the week offer the most opportunities, but you still need good trading strategies to realize profits. Knowing the best times for forex trading makes building on your foundational knowledge easier.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the worst months for forex trading?
The summer months are the worst months for forex trading. June, July and August have fewer market participants, which means less liquidity and higher bid-ask spreads.
Which month is bad for trading?
The summer months are bad for trading, but August is the worst. At this time of year, many market participants are on vacation with their families, resulting in less activity.
When to avoid forex trading?
Some of the slowest trading timeframes are Monday mornings and Friday afternoons. It’s better to trade in the middle of the week.
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About Marc Guberti
Marc Guberti is an investing writer passionate about helping people learn more about money management, investing and finance. He has more than 10 years of writing experience focused on finance and digital marketing. His work has been published in U.S. News & World Report, USA Today, InvestorPlace and other publications.