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Republic Services Inc (RSG) is a national waste management and recycling company whose stock has been a consistent performer with progressive returns, but a premium price tag has many investors waiting to see if future growth justifies its high valuation.
Below we’ll take a look at RSG’s current price and valuation, summarize Wall Street’s sentiment, break down the bullish and bearish outlooks, and analyze price-target forecasts through 2030.
Current Republic Services Inc Stock Overview
• Market cap: $68.95 billion
• Trailing P/E Ratio: 32.92
• Forward P/E Ratio: 28.90
• 1-Year Return: 8%
• 2025 Year to Date: 10%
Shares of Republic Services are trading around $220 as of October, 2025. The stock has risen 10% since the beginning of the year but has fallen 14% from an all-time high around $257 set in May.
Republic Services is the No. 2 waste management company in North America after Waste Management (WM). Its guidance for 2025 projects earnings of $16.75 billion, a gain of 2% over the previous year, and analysts expect growth to continue into 2030.
The company has a strong financial foundation in a recession-resistant sector, and investments in innovation and sustainability, such as renewable natural gas and polymer centers, are expected to keep it growing.
The company opened its second polymer center this year, which allows it to profit from the plastic recyclables it collects through other branches of the business. The centers turn recycled plastics into food-grade resins that are sold to manufacturers for sustainable packaging.
RSG is a consensus Buy with a price target of about $242 based on the ratings of 28 analysts, according to data compiled by Benzinga. The three most-recent targets from UBS, JPMorgan, and Oppenheimer average around $254 with an implied 15% upside from current levels.
Quick Snapshot Table of Predictions
Year | Bearish Prediction | Average Prediction | Bullish Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
2025 | $227.29 | $62.33 | $259.48 |
2026 | $219.68 | $250.99 | $279.85 |
2027 | $230.66 | $271.05 | $313.42 |
2028 | $308.59 | $365.87 | $413.94 |
2029 | $378.71 | $446.20 | $484.34 |
2030 | $421.73 | $454.76 | $485.33 |
The forecast range in this table is based on algorithmic projections provided by CoinCodex. These models use historical price trends, volatility patterns, and moving averages to estimate future stock prices over multiple time horizons.
Bull & Bear Case
Republic Services has a strong and diverse business with demand expected to grow, but it operates in a very competitive industry with fears that the stock may be overvalued.
Bull Case
- Republic Services owns a diverse and sizable network of waste management assets such as landfills and recycling centers giving it an edge as it expands its position in sustainable and innovative waste management.
- Efforts like M-Power, an Oracle-powered fleet and equipment management software system, have been used to replace paper-based processes. Digitizing work orders and inventory to streamline operations has improved efficiency and lowered operating costs.
- A strong business model, along with long-term contracts for waste collection, disposal and recycling create a strong recurring revenue stream.
- Demand for solid waste collection services is expected to grow, which could allow Republic Services to charge more and increase profitability.
- Investments in industry innovation, like harnessing energy from landfill gas and operating polymer centers to capitalize on plastic collections and recycling, are future growth drivers that already have a foothold.
Bear Case
- As a leader in waste management, Republic Services faces significant environmental regulation and scrutiny; tighter regulations could mean increased operational costs to achieve compliance.
- The solid waste industry is highly competitive, and the company faces competition from both national and regional rivals, which keeps Republic Services investing in innovation, which may cut into margins.
- An economic slowdown with decreased demand for solid waste services from construction and manufacturing could affect Republic Services’s bottom line.
- The stock may be overvalued, with some analysts citing the company’s high debt and a high P/E ratio as factors.
Republic Services Inc Stock Price Prediction for 2025
CoinCodex projections see a mild uptick for RSG by the end of the year. While Republic Services has robust financials and waste management is considered an economically resilient industry, investors should pay attention if the economy begins to slow.
A general slowdown or recession could hurt demand for commercial and industrial waste services. The company’s residential services may counter commercial losses to a degree, but its overall revenue and stock price could suffer.
Republic Services Inc Stock Price Prediction for 2026
Analysts generally project slight growth from Republic Services stock in 2026, as they expect recycling and waste operations to continue providing stable returns while investments in sustainability innovation and environmental solutions drive productivity and future growth.
As an industry, waste management is somewhat insulated from broad economic trends, but 2026 could see a slowdown in demand from commercial and industrial clients should construction and/or manufacturing slow.
Republic Services Inc Stock Price Prediction for 2030
The forecast from CoinCodex is more bullish five years down the road. Rise in demand for waste collection associated with a larger population and more rigid environmental policy, speak well for the company’s future, and analysts expect Republic Services to continue its trend of strategic acquisitions to feed expansion. Economic uncertainty and skepticism surrounding future construction volumes could pressure shares.
Investment Considerations
Republic Services is generally seen as a stable, steady growth stock, but its entry point is high and may have limited relative gains. Because of its high entry point and historically high valuation, it may not be a good fit for value investors.
Shares may be slightly vulnerable to economic fluctuations, but the company is generally viewed as recession-resistant with limited vulnerability. That consistent performance and high valuation could deter speculative investors, as potential for dramatic upside is limited.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Republic Services (RSG) a good long-term investment?
Republic Services is considered a quality, well-managed company in an essential services industry with strong growth potential. Investors need to consider its current valuation to determine if there is enough potential upside to meet expectations.
Who are the top companies in the waste management industry?
The three biggest companies by market capitalization are Waste Management ($88.81 billion), Republic Services ($68.95 billion) and Waste Connections (WCN) ($45.4 billion).
Does Republic Services (RSG) stock pay a dividend?
Yes. Republic Services pays a quarterly cash dividend of $0.63 per share with a yield of 1.1%. The company has a consistent history of dividend increases.
About Rachel Lucio
Rachel Lucio is a professional journalist and former financial services consultant with more than 20 years experience writing on national news, local government, business, and law. Her work can be found at Courthouse News, Community Impact Newspaper, and across the web.
