One of the biggest debates on Wall Street right now is whether or not a recovery is imminent in the battered oil & gas industry. In a brand new report, Credit Suisse analyst Mark Lear says that enough is enough and upgrades the oil & gas exploration and production (E&P) sector to Overweight.
Overview
While OPEC seems stubborn about its production levels, Lear believes that a reduction in non-OPEC international production will eventually provide an opportunity for U.S. producers to get back in the game.
The current environment has forced many E&Ps to focus on strengthening their balance sheets. When commodity prices start to recover, the companies with the strongest assets will be able to accelerate the most.
Although Lear believes that investors should be selective in choosing E&P investments, he feels that there are a handful of names that have limited downside with WTI prices at around $60/bbl and “decent” upside with WTI prices in the $70’s/bbl.
Gas rebound
Lear sees 2016 as a better year for natural gas. He believes that drop-offs in production and higher demand could lead to higher winter prices. “However, as prices rise, supply will respond and we see sufficient low cost or associated gas to meet rising demand at a longer term natural price of $3.75/mmbtu,” he explains.
Stock picks
In the report, Lear cautions that “we may be early,” but Credit Suise assumes coverage at Outperform on a number of E&P stocks. Here’s a full list of the firm’s new Outperform calls:
EOG Resources Inc EOG
EP Energy Corp EPE
Parsley Energy Inc PE
Pioneer Natural Resources Co PXD
Denbury Resources Inc DNR
Anadarko Petroleum Corp APC
Devon Energy Corp DVN
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