3Q Earnings: Next Catalyst
Analyst Mitch Collett sees the upcoming third quarter earnings release on October 28 as a catalyst. The analyst believes the focus will be on any additional disclosure surrounding the acquired assets and the timing of synergies. The analyst expects year-over-year organic revenue growth of 3.2 percent and organic EBITDA growth of 4.3 percent. Synergy delivery should provide further catalysts throughout 2017–2019, the analyst said.
Goldman believes the acquisition of SABMiller improves AB Inbev's ability to grow, increases its market share and end-market concentration, and diversifies its revenues.
Synergy Achievable, Another Mega Deal?
The firm is of the view that synergy targets are achievable, helping to drive CAGRs of 9 percent in EBITDA and 13 percent in EPS over 2017–2019. The firm expects the company to acquire again in 2020 — a $80 billion deal that could add 8 percent to 2020 earnings per share estimate. With a free cash flow yield of 5 percent estimated for 2017 compared to 4.4 percent for European staples, Goldman believes the company is compelling for a business that has doubled every four years.
In pre-market trading, the shares of AB Inbev were down 0.28 percent at $126.90, but had rebounded at last check to $127.67.
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