Amazon.com, Inc. AMZN reported Q3 results with robust unit, revenue and gross profit growth, despite tougher comps.
Bob Peck of SunTrust Robinson Humphrey maintained a Hold rating on the company, with a price target of $850.
Margin Pressure
Peck mentioned that the Q4 margin guidance was below expectations and “at the mid-point would represent the first operating margin decline in over 2 years as the company invests heavily in video, fulfillment/ Prime, grocery, India and other initiatives.”
While investments in the company’s core customer proposition and stickiness seem prudent, the analyst believes there could be more near-term margin pressure that investors might discount.
Key Takeaways
According to Peck, the key takeaways from Amazon’s Q3 results include:
- Unit growth remained strong at 28 percent year-on-year, in line with Q2, driven by expansion in the product range and footprint of the Prime ecosystem.
- Third party sellers now account for 50 percent of unit sales, and the success of the FBA programs continues to drive growth.
- Revenue grew 29 percent year-on-year during Q3. More importantly, gross margins, which Peck believes is a better indicator of top line, grew 33 percent year-on-year, against a backdrop of tougher comps due to Prime Day.
- International EGM also posted robust growth at 36 percent year-on-year, ex-FX, with North America EGM growing 30 percent year-on-year, decelerating only 2 percent.
- Top line at Amazon Web Services grew 55 percent year-on-year, representing a modest quarter-on-quarter decline, although exceeding revenues of $3 billion and operating profit of $1 billion for the first time, with 32 percent margins.
- CSOI margins were up 20bps year-on-year, driven by AWS profits, which were 3x retail in Q3.
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