The Case for a Global Depression

Conditions in the global economy appear to be deteriorating. Is this a temporary "
bump in the road,
Chinese pull their peg
abandon the euro
increasingly interdependent
mop-up the liquidity
, inflation could rapidly spiral out of control. Entire fiat currencies might outright collapse. With little demand, there would be no velocity of money due to economic growth. However, if economic agents believed that the central banks would print forever, confidence in the currencies might vanish. Hopefully, such a scenario never plays out. But it seems more possible everyday.
Action ItemsBullish:
Traders who believe that the global economy will emerge from the present rut largely intact might want to consider the following trades:

  • Buy Pro Shares Ultra S&P 500 (NYSE: SSO) in a long play on U.S. equities. U.S. equities might do well in a global recovery, and SSO could benefit.
  • Buy United States Oil Fund (NYSE: USO) in a long play on oil. USO may rally if oil increases in price, on increased global demand.
Bearish:
Traders who believe that the global economy is heading down a dangerous path may consider taking positions in the following:

  • SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD) is a long play on gold. Gold has traditionally done well in times of economic crisis. Traders may run to the save-haven of gold, if the global economy collapses.
  • Pro Shares Ultra Short Dow 30 (NYSE: DXD) is a short play on the Dow Jones. If the U.S. market tanks, DXD may do well.
Neither Benzinga nor its staff recommend that you buy, sell, or hold any security. We do not offer investment advice, personalized or otherwise. Benzinga recommends that you conduct your own due diligence and consult a certified financial professional for personalized advice about your financial situation.
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