Supervalu Isn't Getting The Credit It Deserves

Kirk upgraded the rating on the company from Sector Perform to Outperform, while maintaining the price target at $6.

Wholesale Unit Underappreciated

The wholesale unit, which represents the majority of Supervalu’s business, is “not getting credit for its customer win pipeline,” Kirk noted, estimating the wins to contribute $1.1 billion in FY 2018 over 2017. He further mentioned that the estimates reflected only $857 million, while consensus was at just $682 million.

The analyst mentioned that the company’s core wholesale business was delivering healthy growth and business wins due to:

    1. Mark Gross’s relationships.
    2. Competitors focusing on the recently completed merger between Ahold and Delhaize Group SA (NYSE:DEG).
    3. Large customer loss was “fully lapped” in Q4.

Easing Deflation

U.S. Agricultural Commodity Exports have recently been strong and excess supply appears to be depleting. Kirk projected inflation by May/June.

“With easing deflation/eventual inflation, a very strong wholesale win pipeline, and under-appreciated real estate portfolio, we believe SVU is very attractive,” Kirk commented.

At last check, shares of Supervalu were up 12.28 percent at $3.75.

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