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© 2026 Benzinga | All Rights Reserved
Peter Thiel addresses the Republican National Nominating Convention
November 9, 2025 11:31 AM 2 min read

Peter Thiel Once Explained Why Bitcoin Won't Go Up 'Dramatically' And How It's Set For A 'Volatile, Bumpy Ride' Thanks To BlackRock

by Aniket Verma
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Bitcoin’s (CRYPTO: BTC) ongoing struggles have brought renewed attention to comments made last year by Palantir Technologies co-founder Peter Thiel, who predicted that the leading cryptocurrency was unlikely to see a dramatic surge.

Bitcoin Failed To Meet Thiel’s Expectations

During a CNBC interview in June last year, Thiel said he was fascinated by the idea of a “decentralized future of computing” and that Bitcoin remained the “perfect vehicle” for that for a long time.

“I am much less convinced now,” he added. “I'm not sure it's going to go up that dramatically from here.”

Thiel Predicted A Volatile, Bumpy Ride For BTC

Thiel, who also co-founded payments giant PayPal and the Founders Fund, felt that the apex cryptocurrency has been “co-opted” by organizations such as BlackRock.

He argued that Bitcoin hasn't fulfilled its vision as a cypherpunk, crypto-anarchist and anti-establishment freedom tool, instead integrating more with traditional finance with the launch of spot exchange-traded funds.

“We got the ETF edition, and I don't know who else buys it," he said. “It probably can go up some, but it’s going to be a volatile, bumpy ride.”

See Also: Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom Could Arrive In October 2026, Analyst Warns

Was Thiel’s Prediction Prescient?

BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (NASDAQ:IBIT) saw outflows exceeding $400 million last week and around $560 million so far this week, as of Nov. 5, according to So So Value.

Price Action: At the time of writing, BTC was exchanging hands at $103,047.65, up 6.02% in the last 24 hours, according to data from Benzinga Pro.

As of this writing, the IBIT ETF maintains a weaker price trend over the short, medium and long term, with a decent Momentum ranking. Visit Benzinga Edge Stock Rankings to find out more about the stock.

Photo: Mark Reinstein On Shutterstock.com

Read Next: 

  • Peter Schiff Says Bitcoin’s Crashing — This Chart Says ‘Not So Fast’
Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs

© 2026 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.


Posted In:
CryptocurrencyNewsMarketsBitcoinPeter Thiel
BTC/USD Logo
$BTCBitcoin
$73409.58-2.98%
Overview
POL/USD Logo
$POLPOL (ex-MATIC)
$0.1072-0.83%
USDC/USD Logo
$USDCUSD Coin
$0.99970.01%
ZEC/USD Logo
$ZECZcash
$263.43-2.53%
IBIT Logo
IBITiShares Bitcoin Trust
$41.39-4.41%

Founders Fund, a venture capital firm founded by Thiel, has had a significant history with Bitcoin. The fund made $1.8 billion through Bitcoin investments just before the market collapsed in 2022. It then purchased another $100 million in Bitcoin in 2023, when it was trading below $30,000.

Nearly seventeen months later, the forecast turns out to be relevant. Bitcoin crashed below $100,000, a sharp reversal from its all-time highs of $126,198.07 only a month ago. Several financial analysts declared that the apex cryptocurrency has officially entered a bear market.

BTC/USD Logo
$BTCBitcoin
$73409.58-2.98%
Overview
POL/USD Logo
$POLPOL (ex-MATIC)
$0.1072-0.83%
USDC/USD Logo
$USDCUSD Coin
$0.99970.01%
ZEC/USD Logo
$ZECZcash
$263.43-2.53%
IBIT Logo
IBITiShares Bitcoin Trust
$41.39-4.41%
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