Laredo Petroleum's Lower Price Environment Prompts 16% Price Target Cut By This Analyst

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  • Raymond James analyst John Freeman reiterated an Outperform rating on the shares of Laredo Petroleum Inc LPI and lowered the price target from $75 to $63.
  • The analyst said Laredo did not have the best quarter after having run into some operational issues.
  • The analyst added that they moved production guidance for the year lower thanks to offset fracs causing lackluster performance.
  • The analyst also moved his full year 2023 capex up to ~$650 million to account for further inflation, and a second spot crew LPI will be running in the front half of the year.
  • That being said, even after oil prices have taken a sharp turn lower, the analyst anticipated about $150 million of free cash flow (FCF), with the majority going toward share repurchases and debt reduction.
  • The analyst specified that the company is already at ~1.2x debt/EBITDA with plenty of liquidity, having done some serious work on the balance sheet in the last two years.
  • The analyst said the lowered price target accounts for a lower price environment.
  • Price Action: LPI shares are trading higher by 1.21% at $50.90 on the last check Monday.
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