Analyst Foresees Potential IPO For Vale's Base Metals Business, Upgrades Stock

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  • RBC Capital markets analyst Tyler Broda upgraded Vale SA VALE to Outperform from Sector Perform at an increased price target of $15 from $13.
  • The analyst believes higher iron ore prices and positive expectations on stimulus can boost share price.
  • Also, the analyst thinks Vale's earlier disclosed sale of a 10% stake in its base metals business is 'well telegraphed' and may follow up by a potential IPO for this nickel and copper business in the coming times.
  • However, Broda thinks Vale's earnings can deteriorate if the company cannot restore volumes to capacity levels amid weak demand, mainly in the short term.
  • Nevertheless, the analyst is bullish on the capability of VALE's pellet, DRI and high-grade inputs, expecting them to hold pricing better than lower-quality production at its peers.
  • Broda expects adjusted EPS of $2.16 in 2023, $1.21 in 2024 and $2.00 in 2025.
  • Price Action: VALE shares are trading higher by 1.10% at $13.76 on the last check Tuesday.
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