In a recent revelation, Matthew Sigel, the Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck, confirmed that the firm’s Solana spot ETF proposal is contingent on Donald Trump winning the upcoming US Presidential elections.
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As reported by CryptoSlate on Wednesday, Sigel validated the conjecture around VanEck’s Solana spot ETF proposal. The deadline for the application is set for March 2025, well after the US Presidential elections in November 2024. “Can confirm,” Sigel succinctly stated.
Analysts have indicated that the approval chances for each ETF are virtually non-existent if a Democrat victory leaves Joe Biden in office. However, the odds increase, albeit not guaranteed, if Trump wins the election. This is due to the likelihood of Trump appointing a new SEC chair to replace the current chair, Gary Gensler. The spot ETF approvals come amid ongoing regulatory scrutiny of the cryptocurrency sector. Earlier in May, Chair Gensler criticized the FIT21 Crypto Bill, warning it could create "new regulatory gaps”, receiving heavy criticism from the Crypto community. Even Mark Cuban reiterated his position that SEC Chair Gary Gensler’s actions could cost Joe Biden the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
Another potential obstacle for the Solana ETF is the lack of a futures market on CME, a crucial factor in spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs obtaining regulatory approval. However, Sigel is confident that VanEck will not need to establish a CME futures market around Solana to secure its ETF.
Bloomberg analysts concurred that a surveillance sharing agreement (SSA) “should be enough”, but concluded that VanEck’s strategy will “only work if there’s new leadership at the SEC and/or a literal act of Congress.”
The Solana ETF proposal by VanEck comes after the asset manager filed an S-1 registration form with the SEC for a Solana exchange-traded fund (ETF), marking the first attempt at a Solana ETF in the U.S. This led to a 6% surge in Solana’s price.
Shortly after VanEck’s filing, 21Shares announced its application for a Solana spot ETF, marking another significant step in the ongoing efforts to bring cryptocurrency-based investment products to mainstream financial markets.
The momentum from these ETF applications has led to a significant increase in Solana’s price, with the digital asset soaring 16% over seven days, outpacing both Bitcoin and Ethereum.
As of July 1, 2024, Emeren Group Ltd American Depositary Shares, each representing 10 shares SOL, closed at 1.54 USD, a decrease of 1.91% from its previous close.
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