Toll Brothers Analysts Boost Their Forecasts After Upbeat Earnings

Toll Brothers TOL reported better-than-expected third-quarter financial results and issued FY24 EPS guidance above estimates after the closing bell on Tuesday.

Toll Brothers reported third-quarter revenue of $2.73 billion, beating the consensus estimate of $2.71 billion, according to Benzinga Pro. The luxury homebuilder reported adjusted earnings of $3.60 per share, beating analyst estimates of $3.31 per share.

Home sales revenues were up 2% year-over-year to $2.72 billion as homes delivered jumped 11% to 2,814. Net signed contract value increased 11% year-over-year and contracted homes grew 11% to 2,490. Toll Brothers ended the quarter with a backlog of $7.07 billion, down 10% year-over-year.

"Net signed contracts were up year-over-year approximately 11% in both units and dollars, with July being our strongest month in the quarter. We are also encouraged by our solid deposit and traffic activity through the first three weeks of August," said Douglas Yearley Jr., chairman and CEO of Toll Brothers.

Toll Brothers expects to deliver between 3,275 and 3,375 units in the fourth quarter. Adjusted home sales gross margin is expected to come in at 27.5%. Toll Brothers also said it raised its full-year guidance across all key home-building metrics. The company expects to deliver between 10,650 and 10,750 units in full-year 2024. Toll Brothers anticipates adjusted home sales gross margin of 28.3% for the full year. The company expects full-year earnings of $14.50 to $14.75 per share versus estimates of $14.20 per share.

Toll Brothers shares gained 0.7% to trade at $142.04 on Thursday.

These analysts made changes to their price targets on Toll Brothers following earnings announcement.

• B of A Securities analyst Rafe Jadrosich maintained Toll Brothers with a Buy and raised the price target from $150 to $160.
• Oppenheimer analyst Tyler Batory maintained Toll Brothers with an Outperform and raised the price target from $157 to $168.
• Barclays analyst Matthew Bouley maintained the stock with an Underweight and raised the price target from $116 to $135.
• Wells Fargo analyst Sam Reid maintained Toll Brothers with an Overweight and increased the price target from $150 to $160.
• RBC Capital analyst Mike Dahl maintained the stock with an Outperform and raised the price target from $130 to $143.

Considering buying TOL stock? Here’s what analysts think: