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Dogecoin's Breakout Above 22 Cents Depends On These Factors

Dogecoin DOGE/USD is trading at a pivotal zone, with analysts watching whether macroeconomic data can confirm a bullish higher timeframe setup.

What Happened: In his latest Patreon update, prominent analyst Kevin noted that Dogecoin has been climbing within an upward channel since April.

He marked key support at $0.26–$0.28 (golden pocket), $0.189 (0.5 Fib), and $0.16 (channel bottom). The macro floor sits at $0.137, a level that has historically provided strong entries.

Kevin stressed that holding $0.189 is critical, as losing it would make recovery difficult, especially if Bitcoin slips below its $106,800–$107,500 support zone, potentially lifting BTC dominance and weighing on altcoins.

On the monthly timeframe, Kevin flagged a fully reset Stochastic RSI and RSI above 50, both poised for a bullish cross, signals that historically precede strong rallies in bull markets.

If Bitcoin holds levels and the Fed leans dovish, he said Q4 could bring a major opportunity for Dogecoin and other altcoins.

Also Read: Dogecoin Stuck Around 22 Cents: Why Are Whales Staying Sidelined?

Why It Matters: REX Shares confirmed in a post on X that its REX-Osprey DOGE ETF (DOJE) will be launching soon, marking the first U.S. ETF directly tied to Dogecoin.

Bloomberg's Eric Balchunas noted filings also leave the door open for ETFs linked to Trump, XRP, and Bonk in the future.

Meanwhile, Thumzup Media plans to acquire DogeHash Technologies, bringing 3,500 DOGE mining rigs under its control, shifting the company from ad tech into large-scale cryptocurrency mining.

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