The auto stocks are going ballistic today - I'll take full credit as the reason. Ahem.
I mentioned
TRW Automotive (TRW) this morning... it had spectacular earnings.
BorgWarner (BWA) already reported an excellent quarter and
Magna International (MGA) reports tonight after the bell.
Ford (F) []
I don't know why TRW sold off yesterday on these superlative results... but I was glad to get in this AM. There *is* a gap in the chart created by yesterday's jump; in a normal market I'd point it out and say be wary of the fill. But right now I see hundreds of charts with unfilled gaps and stocks that are in parabolic runs above those gaps.
In terms of subsector - think of TRW Auto as focusing on safety. Analysts had them in for a $0.78 EPS quarter on $3.15B in sales. They did $1.47! (on $3.4B in sales)
Their full year 2010 $4.91 estimate immediately goes up about 70 cents to $5.60 and the fourth quarter estimate of $0.85 looks like a joke. If they can control commodity costs this is looking like a $6.00 year - frankly I could be conservative in that figure; $6.25 might be viable. Hence the stock trades at less than 10 forward .... again a very cyclical business so PE ratios somewhat useless.
[Full report
here]
Via
Reuters:
Guidance
- TRW raised its full-year sales forecast to $14.1 billion from a range of $13.2 billion to $13.6 billion disclosed with its second-quarter earnings release. The 2010 forecast includes expectations for fourth-quarter sales of about $3.4 billion.
TRW is assuming a 11.8M run rate for 2010 in the US (18M units in Europe)
Long all names mentioned in fund; no personal position
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