NIO Announces Terms Of Convertible Note Issuance; Notes Dilute Existing Holders By 6% Above Market Price

Chinese luxury EV maker NIO Inc. NIO detailed Wednesday the terms and pricing of its previously-announced $1 billion in new convertible debt:

  • Two $500 million tranches of 2029 and 2030 notes will be issued with interest rates of 3.875% and 4.625%, respectively
  • The notes will include an option offering purchasers the right to purchase an additional $75 million of each of the notes within 30 days of the offering  
  • The interest payments will be made semiannually on April and October 15
  • The notes will convert at $11.12 for each of the note tranches, which is approximately 25% higher than Tuesday’s closing price
  • The financing is expected to close around September 22. 2023
  • The refinancing upon conversion will add another 103,463,775 shares to the total 1.8 billion shares in issue, representing dilution for shareholders of 5.8%

The announcement of the new debt financing Monday sent the stock price of NIO diving around 20% since as uncertainty surrounded the pricing of the notes.

The company’s management said on a Q2 earnings call in August that it would be refinancing its balance sheet in order to boost margins and cover sales costs related to the hiring of a new sales team that it has poached from competing automakers around China with existing sales networks. It said that forward margin guidance was for the company to return to double-digit profit margins by year-end. See the full story here.

Shares in NIO were bouncing back in pre-market trading Tuesday morning on the announcement of the refinancing terms of the convertible notes.

"[The] long-term implications are contingent on the company's ability to manage its debt and operational performance," wrote Yaozou Capital Research head Yannis Zourmpanos in a research note on the financing.
Zourmpanos said that a critical range in NIO's share price was reached between $7.25 and $8.55 a share. He suggests buyers dollar-cost-average purchase any dips down to around $7.25 where more conservative investors can place a stop-loss.

"Any sudden favorable fundamental development can push the price up aggressively, for instance, progressive delivery numbers based on the 'scary speed' of Chinese EV makers," Zourmpanos added.

Disclosure: Author holds no positions in the stocks mentioned. 
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