Zinger Key Points
- Lucid Diagnostics is expected to receive approval for Medicare reimbursement for EsoGuard testing.
- Medicare coverage could significantly boost testing volumes.
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According to Needham, Lucid Diagnostics Inc. LUCD is likely to receive approval for EsoGuard testing-related Medicare reimbursement, which would boost testing volumes.
The Lucid Diagnostics Analyst: Analyst Mike Matson maintained a Buy rating and price target of $3.
The Lucid Diagnostics Thesis: The company completed over 25,000 cumulative EsoGuard tests (DNA tests) through the fourth quarter of 2024 and filed for Medicare reimbursement, which is expected to come through in the first half of 2025, Matson said in the note.
"Given LUCD’s published data, including two clinical validity and utility studies, both demonstrating nearly 100% concordance and negative predictive value (NPV), we expect LUCD to be successful in obtaining Medicare reimbursement," he added.
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The analyst stated that while waiting for Medicare coverage, Lucid Diagnostics has been able to bill private payors an amount close to the Medicare payment rate of $1,938 per test.
"We expect EsoGuard volume to ramp significantly once LUCD obtains Medicare reimbursement," he wrote.
LUCD Price Action: Following its stock offering on Thursday, shares of Lucid Diagnostics declined by 6.80% to $1.16 at the time of publication on Friday.
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