Sterne Agee continues to view International Bancshares IBOC as having limited downside the closer the shares approach TBVPS, and for longer-term shareholders we believe IBOC represents a potential solid holding. We have been remiss to be more constructive on the name given limited valuation expansion catalysts; in addition to regulatory and spread revenue challenges, Sterne believes perceived credit quality concerns may continue to be a headwind until the sizable construction portfolio shrinks. Sterne notes 1Q11 earnings overall were favorable, as credit was overall a positive and profitability held up well despite decreased pretax, pre provisioning earnings.
Sterne Agee is increasing FY11E by $0.02 to $1.65 per share to reflect higher earnings in 1Q than expected. Sterne is trimming FY12E by $0.13 to $1.78 per share mostly related to more sedate revenue growth expectations. Sterne's overall modeling continues to be for modest atrophy in profitability given overall revenue challenges.
Sterne Agee has a Neutral rating on International Bancshares Corp
IBOC closed Friday at $16.53
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