Following the earnings report, UBS's Michael Lasser maintains a Buy rating on Costco's stock with an unchanged $190 price target, saying the company's earnings report should "fatigue" the bears.
Not only where Costco's results "solid," but membership trends — which are core to the bull versus bear debate — remain solid, Lasser noted. Specifically, members per club rose 0.2 percent while total membership rose 4 percent to 49.4 million. More importantly, Costco's Groupon and LivingSocial offer attracted the important younger demographic group that should remain members for years.
However, Costco's renewal rate did fall in the quarter from 87.5 percent in the prior quarter to 87.2 percent but this could be attributed to the 2016 credit card switch, as many users had their memberships set to auto-renew on their old American Express card.
Finally, it is important to note that Costco's gross margin decline of 9 basis points in total is adjusted for fuel inflation/deflation, the analyst added (see Lasser's track record here). In fact, gross margins for non-fuel sales was flat year-over-year which may be even more impressive considering Costco continued to aggressively invest in price during the quarter.
Bottom line, Costco's "skeptics" should now figure out that the company is a textbook example of a company that isn't being impacted by the quickly shifting trends in the retail sector.
Related Links:Analyst: Expect Another Stellar Quarter From Costco
Why You Should Be A Buyer Of Costco Shares Into Its Q4 Print
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