What To Expect From Medtronic Earnings Next Week? An Analyst Answers

  • Needham believes that Medtronic Plc MDT has a strong product cycle that could drive a growth re-acceleration as procedure volumes normalize. 
  • The analyst expects Medtronic to beat consensus F1Q23 revenue and EPS but sees that management might lower its FY23 financial guidance amid currency headwind.
  • Needham says that current guidance requires a steep revenue and EPS growth ramp through FY23, and the analyst lacks confidence in Medtronic's ability to execute in a challenging macro environment with multiple factors outside its control. 
  • CEO Geoff Martha is shifting Medtronic's focus towards gaining market share and revenue growth, but its performance relative to its competitors has been mixed in recent quarters. 
  • Martha has indicated that Medtronic will M&A and/or divestitures to drive its weighted average market growth rate higher. 
  • According to the analyst, the Diabetes and Spine businesses could be considered for either sales and/or spin-offs but don't expect any immediate value creation for shareholders if a transaction materializes.
  • Medtronic is scheduled to release Q1 FY23 earnings on Tuesday, August 23.
  • Price Action: MDT shares are down 0.47% at $94.79 on the last check Thursday.
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