Meta's Downsizing Is An Encouraging Sign With More Room For Cuts Like Reality Labs, Analyst Says

  • Mizuho analyst James Lee reiterated a Buy on Meta Platforms Inc META with a $160 price target.
  • Meta announced that it would lay off about 11k employees, or 13% of its total headcount across the Family of Apps and Reality Labs segments
  • FY22 expense outlook is unchanged at 22% YoY growth, Lee wrote in a Thursday note titled "Total Costs to Decline to 12% YoY; an Encouraging Start but More Room to Go." 
  • However, the company lowered FY23 expense guidance by 2 points to 12% YoY growth at $97 billion at the midpoint. 
  • At the same time, Meta cut FY23 Capex guidance by 3 points to 9% YoY growth ($35.5 billion) from 12% ($36.5 billion). 
  • The company expects losses from Reality Labs to grow significantly YoY in FY23. 
  • Although this is an encouraging start to disciplined spending and investments, he sees the company has more room to go. 
  • For example, Reality Labs would incur $13 billion in operating losses in FY22, or 11 points of operating margin. 
  • As a comparison, the layoffs save the company $1.5 billion, just 1 point of operating margin. 
  • With a consensus revenue estimate for FY23 at 6% YoY growth, Lee believes Meta should align total expense growth with top-line growth.
  • Price Action: META shares traded higher by 8.50% at $110.10 on the last check Thursday.
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