Devon Energy's Prospects Seem Bright On Strong Shareholder Return & Balance Sheet, Says Analyst

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  • Raymond James analyst John Freeman reiterated a Strong Buy rating on the shares of Devon Energy Corp DVN and raised the price target from $83 to $87.
  • The analyst said Devon Energy was the biggest underperformer in his coverage after Q3 earnings.
  • The pullback creates opportunity as the company still maintains a strong shareholder return, pristine balance sheet, and long inventory life.
  • He noted that the actual Q3 results beat across the board with a nice combo of higher production and lower capex.
  • Freeman said the same cannot go true for the Q4 guidance, which was disappointing relative to Street expectations.
  • The analyst continues to assume Devon will easily exceed the 50% payout ratio by leveraging buybacks to sweeten its solid return strategy.
  • After the 50% payout, Devon will have substantial cash to flex into buybacks, with additional M&A unlikely in the near-term after the active 2022 campaign on that front.
  • Freeman thinks Delaware accounts for 60% of Devon’s capital investment and has seen production grow 11% year-to-date.
  • The company has taken steps to improve price realizations, which was evident in Q3, said the analyst.
  • Devon’s 20% interest in Pin Oak’s export terminal in Corpus gives them access to 90 Mbbl/d of Brent linked pricing.
  • Freeman mentioned that Devon’s LNG export partnership with Delfin provides direct exposure to international gas pricing.
  • Price Action: DVN shares are trading higher by 0.34% at $72.05 on the last check Monday.
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