Analyst Expects 'Somewhat Smaller Effect Size' From Gossamer Bio's Upcoming PAH Trial

  • Raymond James maintains Outperform on Gossamer Bio Inc GOSS with a price target down from $18 to $15.
  • The analyst expects a somewhat smaller effect size for seralutinib vs. sotatercept's. 
  • Seralutinib Phase 2 TORREY study is on track for topline readout in the second half of November or the first half of December.
  • Merck & Co Inc MRK is developing sotatercept as an add-on to stable background therapy for pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH).
  • Merck recently reported topline data from a pivotal Phase 3 STELLAR trial exhibiting primary win on a 6-minute walk distance over 24 weeks is statistically significant and clinically meaningful
  • The analyst's investment thesis is based on the fact that seralutinib has a similar mechanism of action to imatinib's that worked in the Phase 3 IMPRES study, and this thesis still holds. 
  • Raymond James writes that if the Phase 2 PAH study of seralutinib is successful, most of Gossamer's resources will be focused on the Phase 3 program for this asset.
  • Otherwise, the focus will shift to earlier assets in BTK inhibitors, and Gossamer is not planning to license new IBD assets at this time.
  • In April, Gossamer Bio announced topline results from its Phase 2 SHIFT-UC Study trial of GB004 in patients with mild-to-moderate active ulcerative colitis (UC).
  • Neither GB004 treatment arm met the primary or secondary endpoints at week 12
  • Price Action: GOSS shares are down 1.08% at $9.13 on the last check Thursday.
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