5 Etsy Analysts On Q4 Results: This 'Pandemic Winner' Emerged A Stronger Company

Zinger Key Points
  • Etsy’s results continue to show sustainability, one analyst said.
  • If current demand trends persist, Etsy’s gross merchandise sales growth would hit teens % in 2H, another analyst stated.
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Shares of Etsy Inc ETSY climbed during Thursday’s premarket session on fourth-quarter results.

  • Oppenheimer analyst Jason Helfstein reiterated an Outperform rating, while raising the price target from $150 to $155.
  • Needham analyst Anna Andreeva maintained a Buy rating and price target of $160.
  • Raymond James analyst Rick Patel maintained an Outperform rating and price target of 155.
  • KeyBanc Capital Markets analyst Noah Zatzkin reaffirmed a Sector Weight rating on the stock.
  • Wolfe Research analyst Deepak Mathivanan reiterated a Peer Perform rating on the stock.

Check out other analyst stock ratings.

Oppenheimer

  • “While once tagged a temporary pandemic winner, ETSY continues to show sustainability: despite reopening/shift to services headwind, revenue increased 13% y/y, reflecting value to seller community and destination to consumers,” Helfstein said.
  • “Conservatively, we're lowering our 2H GMS growth estimate to 8% from 11%, even though results have exceeded guidance,” he added.

Needham

  • “ETSY is exiting the pandemic arguably as a stronger company, yet valuation is at discount to pre-pandemic averages,” Andreeva wrote.
  • “Compares ease substantially after 1Q23 (on a 3-year basis, 2Q23-4Q23 sales comparisons for core Etsy ease by 25-points on average after 1Q23) and profitability should improve on subs beginning to narrow some of their losses (after 400 bps drag this '22),” she further stated.

Raymond James

  • “We’re encouraged that GMS growth on a y/3-year basis accelerated, a positive signal for demand,” Patel said.
  • “If the current demand trends persist, GMS 2H would hit teens% growth y/y, but ETSY isn’t guiding this given volatile macro,” he added.

KeyBanc Capital Markets

  • “GMS growth remained challenged in 4Q (-4%), with strong revenue growth (+13%) driven by the April take-rate increase and outsized growth in Etsy Ads,” Zatzkin wrote in a note.
  • “1Q revenue guidance featured a range inclusive of both our and consensus estimates, but adjusted EBITDA margin guidance implies modest contraction vs. 2022,” he added.

Wolfe Research

  • The company’s gross merchandise sales and EBITDA came above Street expectations, “driven by healthy performance in the core ETSY marketplace during the holiday season,” Mathivanan said.
  • “The company continues to see strong growth in new buyers to the platform, while reactivations were also strong in 4Q,” he added.

ETSY Price Action: Shares of Etsy had risen by 4.00% to $133.59 during the premarket session on Thursday.

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Posted In: Analyst ColorEarningsNewsPrice TargetReiterationTop StoriesAnalyst RatingsMoversTrading IdeasAnna AndreevaDeepak MathivananExpert IdeasJason HelfsteinKeyBanc Capital MarketsNeedhamNoah ZatzkinOppenheimerRaymond JamesRick PatelWolfe Research
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