Big Lots' Q4 Results Soft & Outlook Disappointing, Says Analyst

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  • Telsey Advisory Group analyst Joseph Feldman reiterated a Market Perform rating on the shares of Big Lots, Inc. NYSE: BIG) with a price target of $16.
  • Big Lots reported soft 4Q22 results, with weak sales both on absolute and relative basis to the Street, while profitability and earnings beat expectations but were still negative.
  • The company reported 4Q22 adjusted EPS of ($0.28) versus the analyst’s estimate of ($0.85).
  • The analyst believes Big Lots business was impacted by the slowdown in consumer spending on big-ticket discretionary items, given pressure from inflation, as well as higher supply chain and operating costs. 
  • The 7.3% inventory decrease over the 5.3% increase at the end of 3Q22, the analyst said, is a solid improvement.
  • Big Lots' negative 4Q22 earnings and softer 1Q23 outlook keeps the analyst on the sideline. 
  • Like many retailers, it appears that COVID-19 helped the company over-earn in the past two years, with the reset underway, added the analyst.
  • Big Lots has a lot of initiatives to improve the business, but need to wait to see results, said the analyst.
  • Price Action: BIG shares closed higher by 5.68% at $14.51 on Thursday.
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