Payoneer's Massive Potential Market Opportunity For Cross Border Payments Gives Long Growth Runway, Says Analyst

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  • Needham analyst Mayank Tandon reiterates Payoneer Global Inc PAYO with a Buy and a $10 price target.
  • Needham recently hosted investor meetings with John Caplan (CEO), Bea Ordonez (CFO), and Michelle Wang (IR), focusing on the sizable growth opportunity for PAYO given the massive TAM for cross-border payment services that it provides for SMBs and gig workers. 
  • PAYO operates globally, resulting in a potential market with over 300 million addressable SMBs needing cross-border payments and other financial services, helping PAYO sustain a 20%+ organic growth rate over the long term.
  • Tandon expects management to continue to add new products and expand its geographical footprint, with areas like Latin American payments, B2B AP/AR, commercial cards, and working capital all representing sizable long-term growth opportunities helping PAYO increase the TAM, drive additional revenue growth, and improve profitability levels long-term.
  • Management highlighted the strong adoption rates for its newer product offerings, such as B2B AP/AR, commercial card, and working capital, which have attractive unit economics, given the increased complexity of these transactions. 
  • These products are scaling rapidly and are still in the early innings of adoption. Given their attractive unit economics and high adoption rates, Tandon expects PAYO's higher take-rate products to serve as a tailwind to growth and margins. 
  • The analyst believes PAYO can grow revenue at a 20%+ organic clip over the long term while improving profitability as management invests in new products and expands its geographic footprint. 
  • While the shares trade in line with a group of other SMID payment names, the analyst finds PAYO worthy of a premium valuation given its competitive strengths, solid growth prospects, and rapidly scaling profitability. 
  • The analyst views the risk-reward as favorable for SMID investors seeking exposure to a high-growth cross-border payments company with positive secular trends well-positioned to benefit from a higher interest rate environment.
  • Price Action: PAYO shares traded lower by 1.97% at $6.20 on the last check Wednesday.
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