Wolfspeed, Entegris, FormFactor Shares Drop After Analyst Downgrade Citing Cyclical Downturn; Find Analyst's Top Picks

  • Citigroup analyst Atif Malik downgrades Wolfspeed Inc WOLF from Buy to Neutral and lowers the price target from $95 to $66
  • Though he remains optimistic about the growth of the silicon carbide market, he worries that other electric vehicle makers may follow Tesla Inc's TSLA lead in offering lower-cost EV models using IGBT or hybrid IGBTSiC technologies.
  • Malik downgrades Entegris Inc ENTG from Buy to Neutral and lowers the price target from $92 to $86.
  • Malik downgrades FormFactor Inc FORM from Buy to Neutral and raises the price target from $25 to $33.
  • The equipment group is +34% vs. SP500's +13% since early 4Q22, and Malik continues to believe the group bottomed in October last year.
  • He believes the easy money phase is over. The cycle enters "Phase 2", where his stock-picking framework prefers equipment and component makers over consumable and wafer-start-driven stocks. 
  • Malik remains long on equipment with top picks Applied Materials, Inc AMAT and Lam Research Corp LRCX.
  • Malik's top component picks include Advanced Energy Industries, Inc AEIS and Coherent Corp COHR
  • Malik expects the group to grind higher for three reasons.
  • He cites the potential upside to 2024/25 WFE as multinational chipmakers in China pivot to add capacity outside China to avoid the risk of a possible expansion in equipment restrictions due to guardrails around U.S. Chip Act subsidies. The analyst further estimates revision momentum. Although valuations have expanded, they remain ~30% below the prior peak. 
  • Price Actions: ENTG shares traded lower by 5.83% at $77.22 on the last check Monday. WOLF shares traded lower by 5.40% at $61.44, and FORM shares traded lower by 3.80% at $30.64.
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