Inter Parfums To Dominate Luxury Fragrance Market With New Licenses After Sales Crossed $1B, Says Analyst

  • DA Davidson analyst Linda Bolton Weiser reiterated a Buy rating on the shares of Inter Parfums Inc IPAR and raised the price target from $158 to $176.
  • The analyst said IPAR's global prestige fragrance market share was only 3% in 2020.
  • With the recent additions of the Ferragamo, DKNY, and Lacoste licenses, the analyst estimates IPAR's market share to be 4%-5%.
  • The analyst noted IPAR's strategy to grow existing product lines organically, with base business growth at a rate exceeding the prestige fragrance market.
  • The company has demonstrated the strategy with several brands, including Montblanc and Jimmy Choo, which have grown consistently over many years.
  • In the last 10 years, the analyst noted, IPAR's sales growth, excluding FX and sales contribution, was at least 10% in every year but two, compared to a low-single-digit growth of the prestige fragrance market.
  • With IPAR's sales surpassing $1 billion in 2022, the analyst thinks the company has finally garnered a reputation in the industry to be a contender for bigger licenses, as evidenced by its Lacoste win.
  • The analyst thinks that IPAR's new Italian subsidiary puts it in a strong position to partner with Italian luxury brands.
  • The analyst also believes the company has opportunities to selectively work with brand owners to develop fragrance lines from scratch.
  • The analyst is more optimistic on IPAR because component shortages could ease soon, as they already have for Coty Inc COTY, and Lacoste alone could add sales of $150 million or 12.5% in 2024, which is not reflected in Street estimates.
  • Price Action: IPAR shares are trading higher by 3.30% at $144.84 on the last check Wednesday.
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