Despite Rough Waters, Dollar Tree Holds Promise In The Long Term, Says Analyst

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  • Telsey Advisory Group analyst Joseph Feldman reiterated an Outperform rating on the shares of Dollar Tree Inc DLTR with a price target of $165.
  • Dollar Tree’s 1Q23 EPS of $1.47 missed the consensus estimate of $1.52, reflecting worse-than-anticipated adjusted operating margin contraction of 445 basis points to 6.1%.
  • The pressure on operating margin was driven by the gross margin compression of 345 basis points to 30.5%, primarily due to lower initial markup, and elevated shrink, and unfavorable product mix shift to consumables, noted the analyst.
  • Dollar Tree guided 2Q23 EPS of $0.79-$0.89, well below the consensus of $1.26, given the pressure on profits.
  • The analyst is disappointed by another mixed earnings report and the fourth consecutive lowered guidance.
  • However, the analyst continues to believe the company remains well-positioned for the long term to gain market share, given its convenient locations, value merchandise, and transformative initiatives.
  • Price Action: DLTR shares are trading lower by 10.09% at $139.67 on the last check Thursday.
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