Forget what you’ve been told about the sanctity of the buy-and-hold investment strategy.
BlackRock Inc. BLK rode the wave of index investing to dominate asset management. The firm is now advocating for a pivot towards actively managed strategies.
This change in tune comes as the economic landscape is characterized by higher interest rates, persistent inflation, and geopolitical risks.
These factors, however, present a fertile ground for active managers, according to Bloomberg citing BlackRock analysts. Hedge funds are expected to outperform the traditional set-and-forget portfolios.
For years, investors enjoyed the simplicity and effectiveness of static asset allocations, buoyed by an era of ultra-low interest rates. However, BlackRock’s Investment Institute analysts Vivek Paul and Andreea Mitrache argue that this period is behind us.
This will signal the end of what was a golden decade for developed-market stocks and bonds, which outperformed cash returns pre-pandemic.
“The traditional portfolio approach of static asset allocations won't work as well as in recent decades, in our view. We stay dynamic in our strategic views as one part of the solution,” BlackRock wrote.
BlackRock suggests that “mega forces” are maintaining interest rates at levels above those seen before the pandemic. That means having the right asset mix is more crucial than ever.
Since 2020, more investors have embraced passively managed funds, with over half of mutual fund and ETF assets in passive products.
BlackRock Advises Investors: Remain Adaptable
The disparity between the top-performing stocks and the underperformers has grown since 2020, according to BlackRock, offering a larger window for beating broad market returns.
BlackRock posits that even shifting between indexes represents a form of active management, leveraging skills in market timing and sector, region, and style selection to outperform.
The world’s largest asset manager advises investors to remain adaptable, emphasizing that the traditional static asset allocation models may not be as effective in the evolving financial landscape.
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