Fidelity National Information Services' Banking, Capital Markets Growth Drive Optimism, Analysts Say

On Monday, Fidelity National Information Services, Inc FIS reported third-quarter revenue of $2.57 billion, up 3% year over year, topping the analyst consensus of $2.56 billion. Adjusted EPS of $1.40 beat the analyst consensus of $1.29.

The company expects fiscal 2024 revenue of $10.14 billion – $10.17 billion (prior $10.12 billion – $10.17 billion) and adjusted EPS of $5.15 – $5.20 (prior $5.03 – $5.11).

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Multiple analysts rerated the stock after the print. RBC Capital analyst Daniel Perlin maintained Fidelity National Info with an Outperform and raised the price target from $95 to $104.

KeyBanc analyst Alex Markgraff remained Sector Weight on Fidelity National Info. Goldman Sachs analyst Will Nance reiterated a Buy on Fidelity National Info with a price target of $100, up from $97.

RBC Capital: Perlin highlighted FIS’ recent performance, noting strength in core banking sales and operating leverage in capital markets. Banking segment adjusted revenue grew by 3% year-over-year to $1.71 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 45.2%, supported by cost-saving efforts and an increasing proportion of recurring revenue, up 6% year-over-year. The recent acquisition of Dragonfly, which offers liquidity management and fraud prevention for complex commercial clients, enhances FIS’ digital offerings and opens cross-selling opportunities with banks not yet using FIS’ core services.

The Capital Markets segment posted 7% adjusted revenue growth, reaching $730 million, with a 49.9% EBITDA margin. This was attributed to a favorable revenue mix and operational leverage. Management anticipates ongoing margin expansion in the segment, driven by increased recurring revenue and a boost in cross-selling activity across the enterprise, which rose 20% year-to-date.

KeyBanc: Markgraff observed that FIS reported better-than-expected third-quarter results and raised its full-year guidance. However, the increase was primarily due to reduced interest expenses and added Worldpay EMI contributions rather than core operational growth. Adjusted revenue in Banking grew 3% year-over-year, driven by steady recurring revenue. Capital Markets adjusted revenue also rose by 7%, reflecting substantial operating leverage and an advantageous revenue mix.

Despite an upbeat revenue beat, Markgraff noted that higher capital expenditures—partly from vendor pricing pressures—dampened immediate market response to the results. The outlook suggests strong momentum, particularly in Capital Markets, though Banking growth is expected to settle closer to the lower to midpoint of its projected range.

Goldman Sachs: Nance noted that FIS outperformed the S&P with a 67 basis point rise, as investors seemed reassured by consistent performance and reaffirmed medium-term targets. Despite anticipated increases in third-party vendor costs impacting capital expenditures, management expressed confidence in maintaining cash flow in 2025. While Worldpay is no longer central to FIS’ strategy, its EMI continues positively impacting EPS. Operationally, FIS saw strong execution with several key customer wins in the Asia-Pacific region, reinforcing confidence in its execution.

Looking ahead, Nance views FIS as a reliable, defensively positioned investment with moderate revenue growth and steady EPS growth, enhanced by capital returns and efficient margin management. He raised the price target, reflecting peer valuation adjustments driven by FIS’ continued positive performance trajectory.

Price Action: FIS stock is down 3.21% at $86.82 at last check Tuesday.

Image: Shutterstock by PopTika

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