Tesla Inc TSLA is rolling into its fourth quarter earnings next week with a mix of hype and hesitation. The stock has had a rollercoaster year, climbing nearly 99% over the past 12 months but slipping 10.79% in the past month.

With the revamped Model Y Juniper hitting the market, investors are watching closely to see if it can recharge Tesla's momentum ahead of its earnings report.

Model Y Makeover: A Lifeline For Tesla's Slowing Sales?

Tesla is betting big on its refreshed Model Y, which will start U.S. deliveries in March at a base price of $59,990. The updated SUV boasts a sleeker look, new lighting and upgraded interior features like ventilated seats and faster Wi-Fi — because even Teslas need a glow-up.

CEO Elon Musk wasted no time hyping the launch, sharing a slick video of the Model Y on social media. But will this facelift be enough to counteract declining deliveries?

Tesla's 2024 sales took a hit, and while the Cybertruck made a flashy debut, it wasn't enough to offset the drop. With competition heating up, Tesla needs more than a cosmetic update to sustain its EV dominance.

Read More: Tesla Launches Refreshed Model Y In US With 25% Price Hike, Full Self-Driving Included

Tesla Stock Signals: Caught Between Buy and Sell

Tesla stock is sending mixed signals. While the 50-day and 200-day moving averages suggest a bullish trend, shorter-term indicators aren't as optimistic.

Chart created using Benzinga Pro

Tesla stock’s eight-day simple moving average (SMA) is signaling a bearish momentum, with the stock price of $415.56 trailing that benchmark. However, medium-to-long-term indicators such as the 20-day, 50-day and 200-day SMAs all suggest bullish optimism.

The RSI (relative strength index) sits at a neutral 52.82, and the MACD (moving average convergence/divergence) of 6.27 leans bullish, indicating Tesla still has some gas left in the tank.

For now, the trend remains "moderately bullish," but slight selling pressure is creeping in. Investors will be eyeing the earnings report closely for guidance on whether Tesla's rally can continue — or if it's running out of charge.

Trump, Tax Credits, Tesla's Future

Beyond the earnings report, Tesla faces another wildcard: President Donald Trump's executive order hinting at the repeal of the federal EV tax credit. The $7,500 incentive has been a major selling point, particularly for Tesla's mass-market models.

While Tesla has managed to thrive in shifting regulatory environments before, this potential policy shift could put pressure on future demand — especially as legacy automakers and new EV entrants battle for market share.

With earnings just days away, Tesla's fate hinges on more than just a stylish new Model Y. Can Musk's magic keep the rally alive, or is the stock about to hit a speed bump? Investors won't have to wait long to find out.

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Photo: Courtesy Tesla Inc.