Zinger Key Points
- Victoria's Secret lowers Q1 and FY25 sales guidance, with analysts cutting price targets.
- Analyst forecasts slower growth for Q2-Q4, citing harder same-store-sales comparisons.
- Every week, our Whisper Index uncovers five overlooked stocks with big breakout potential. Get the latest picks today before they gain traction.
Victorias Secret & Co. VSCO shares are trading lower on Thursday after the company issued first-quarter and FY25 sales guidance below estimates.
Revenue rose 1% year over year to $2.11 billion, beating the consensus of $2.09 billion, and adjusted EPS of $2.60 beat the consensus of $2.30.
The company expects net sales of $1.30 billion – $1.33 billion vs. consensus of $1.39 billion for the first quarter and $6.2 billion – $6.3 billion vs. consensus of $6.34 billion for FY25.
J.P. Morgan analyst Matthew R. Boss lowered the price forecast from $43.00 to $35.00, with a Neutral rating.
The analyst writes that for the balance of the year, management’s full-year guidance implies that the second quarter-fourth quarter revenues will accelerate to +1% growth on average (> first quarter’s -4% to -2% guidance range).
Boss notes that second quarter-fourth quarter same-store-sales comparisons on a 1-year basis are sequentially harder versus first quarter by 670bps.
The analyst writes that after recent leadership changes in the C-Suite and merchandising/product functions, VSCO is starting to see topline growth across both the VS and PINK brands.
Although the turnaround is still in the early stages, there is a multi-year opportunity to drive higher full-price selling, expand gross margins, and leverage SG&A on sustained revenue growth, ultimately improving operating margins, says the analyst.
The analyst cut the FY25 EPS estimates to $2.30 from $2.74 (vs. Street $2.80) and expects FY26 EPS of $2.40 (vs. Street $3.14).
Other analyst’s price forecast revisions include:
- Wells Fargo analyst Ike Boruchow cut the price forecast from $40 to $25, while keeping an Equal-Weight rating.
- BMO Capital analyst Simeon Siegel reiterated an Outperform rating and lowered the price forecast from $46 to $31.
- Telsey Advisory Group analyst Dana Telsey kept a Market Perform rating and slashed the price forecast from $40 to $24.
Price Action: VSCO shares are down 2.96% at $21.55 at the last check Thursday.
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