Wunderlich Securities has a research report on housing finance and mortgage REITs. In the note, Wunderlich mentions American Capital Agency Corp. AGNC.
In a note to clients, Wunderlich writes, "Market concerns over the pending termination of QE2 pressured the mortgage REITs. Though we believe the homeowner lacks the financial flexibility to carry the economy out of the ongoing sluggish economy, we do expect that interest rates could tend to rise through May and the end of this round of easing. At the same time, we believe that easing will continue, though perhaps in different forms. For example, a policy to keep mortgage rates low could be executed through purchases of agency MBS, which could sustain liquidity in the housing finance secondary market. Higher benchmark rates could put pressure on book value and tighten spreads, but we believe that relatively high dividends in our coverage universe will be sustainable. With dividends providing price support, we expect the group to
stage a slow recovery to an average 15% premium to trailing book value."
Shares of AGNC lost 17 cents on Friday to close at $28.53, a loss of 0.6%.
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