Benzinga

España
Italia
대한민국
日本
Français
Benzinga Edge
Benzinga Research
Benzinga Pro

  • Get Benzinga Pro
  • Data & APIs
  • Events
  • Premarket
  • Advertise
Contribute
España
Italia
대한민국
日本
Français

Benzinga

  • Premium Services
  • Financial News
    Latest
    Earnings
    Guidance
    Dividends
    M&A
    Buybacks
    Interviews
    Management
    Offerings
    IPOs
    Insider Trades
    Biotech/FDA
    Politics
    Healthcare
    Small-Cap
  • Markets
    Pre-Market
    After Hours
    Movers
    ETFs
    Options
    Cryptocurrency
    Commodities
    Bonds
    Futures
    Mining
    Real Estate
    Volatility
  • Ratings
    Analyst Color
    Downgrades
    Upgrades
    Initiations
    Price Target
  • Investing Ideas
    Trade Ideas
    Long Ideas
    Short Ideas
    Technicals
    Analyst Ratings
    Analyst Color
    Latest Rumors
    Whisper Index
    Stock of the Day
    Best Stocks & ETFs
    Best Penny Stocks
    Best S&P 500 ETFs
    Best Swing Trade Stocks
    Best Blue Chip Stocks
    Best High-Volume Penny Stocks
    Best Small Cap ETFs
    Best Stocks to Day Trade
    Best REITs
  • Money
    Investing
    Cryptocurrency
    Mortgage
    Insurance
    Yield
    Personal Finance
    Forex
    Startup Investing
    Real Estate Investing
    Prop Trading
    Credit Cards
    Stock Brokers
Research
My Stocks
Tools
Free Benzinga Pro Trial
Calendars
Analyst Ratings Calendar
Conference Call Calendar
Dividend Calendar
Earnings Calendar
Economic Calendar
FDA Calendar
Guidance Calendar
IPO Calendar
M&A Calendar
Unusual Options Activity Calendar
SPAC Calendar
Stock Split Calendar
Trade Ideas
Free Stock Reports
Insider Trades
Trade Idea Feed
Analyst Ratings
Unusual Options Activity
Heatmaps
Free Newsletter
Government Trades
Perfect Stock Portfolio
Easy Income Portfolio
Short Interest
Most Shorted
Largest Increase
Largest Decrease
Calculators
Margin Calculator
Forex Profit Calculator
100x Options Profit Calculator
Screeners
Stock Screener
Top Momentum Stocks
Top Quality Stocks
Top Value Stocks
Top Growth Stocks
Compare Best Stocks
Best Momentum Stocks
Best Quality Stocks
Best Value Stocks
Best Growth Stocks
Connect With Us
facebookinstagramlinkedintwitteryoutubeblueskymastodon
About Benzinga
  • About Us
  • Careers
  • Advertise
  • Contact Us
Market Resources
  • Advanced Stock Screener Tools
  • Options Trading Chain Analysis
  • Comprehensive Earnings Calendar
  • Dividend Investor Calendar and Alerts
  • Economic Calendar and Market Events
  • IPO Calendar and New Listings
  • Market Outlook and Analysis
  • Wall Street Analyst Ratings and Targets
Trading Tools & Education
  • Benzinga Pro Trading Platform
  • Options Trading Strategies and News
  • Stock Market Trading Ideas and Analysis
  • Technical Analysis Charts and Indicators
  • Fundamental Analysis and Valuation
  • Day Trading Guides and Strategies
  • Live Investor Events
  • Pre-market Stock Analysis and News
  • Cryptocurrency Market Analysis and News
Ring the Bell

A newsletter built for market enthusiasts by market enthusiasts. Top stories, top movers, and trade ideas delivered to your inbox every weekday before and after the market closes.

  • Terms & Conditions
  • Do Not Sell My Personal Data/Privacy Policy
  • Disclaimer
  • Service Status
  • Sitemap
© 2026 Benzinga | All Rights Reserved
July 9, 2012 5:14 PM 5 min read

Brace Yourself For A Rough Q2 Earnings Period

by Michael Matthews Benzinga Staff Writer
Follow
Brace yourself for what might be the roughest earnings season the U.S. has experienced in more than three years. Ahead of the a month-long financial show and tell for S&P 500 companies have not been this dour about their results since Q4 2008 according to JP Morgan analysts, in a note to clients. They say negative-to-positive earnings preannouncements are now running at a 3.6-to-1 clip. Just a quarter ago, negative-to-positive pre-announcements were a 60-40 split. S&P 500 earnings growth would be pretty much nil if you were to take away Apple (NASDAQ:
AAPL
) and Bank of America (NYSE:
BAC
), two companies expected to have among the largest positive earnings influence, according to Thomson Reuters. Here are the five themes likely to garner attention as the Q2 earnings season gets under way: U.S. rules, Europe drools Potential weakness in Europe is the main reason the 85 S&P 500 companies that have warned for Q2. That could weigh on stocks such as Philip Morris (NYSE:
PM
), McDonald's (NYSE:
MCD
), and Ford Motor (NYSE:
F
), Honeywell (NYSE:
HON
), General Electric (NYSE:
GE
), Coca-Cola (NYSE:
KO
) – all of which have 20% or more of their revenue tied to the troubled continent. That could be a positive, though, for U.S. companies with positive trends that have little to no European ties. For that reason, homebuilders including KB Home (NYSE:
KBH
), Lennar (NYSE:
LEN
), Toll Brothers (NYSE:
TOL
) as well as mortgage lender Wells Fargo (NYSE:
WFC
) could be stocks to watch for earnings upside. More than a dozen major housing markets saw a double-digit rise in listing prices in May. And Wells Fargo (NYSE:
WF
) boosted mortgage loans 30% in the previous quarter. Be aware, however, that many of those stocks have already seen strong gains off the early June lows. Consumer Discretionary crap shoot The back-to-school season is now a question mark. Consumer Discretionary companies were among those seeing the biggest increase in earnings warnings. Nike's (NYSE:
NKE
) earnings report in late June laid the foundation for the sector's worries. It expects China's economy to slow, labor and commodity costs to be all over the map, and continued currency pressures in Europe. It certainly doesn't help that consumer confidence moved to a 6-month low in June. Even the domestic retailers -- Target (NYSE:
TGT
), Macy's (NYSE:
M
) and Costco (NASDAQ:
COST
) – all posted disappointing sales comps. The one relatively safer haven among the discretionary companies could be the luxury players, including Tiffany & Co. (NYSE:
TIF
) and Coach (NYSE:
COH
) in the U.S., and possibly even ones with much closer ties to Europe including Prada (OTC:
PRDSY
) and Richemont Swatch Group (OTC: SWGAF). Financials may see setbacks JP Morgan (NYSE:
JPM
) and its potential trading loss has the potential to being one of the largest negative influences on overall S&P 500 earnings. That's hardly the only obstacle faced by the big banks, though. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:
MS
) and Goldman Sachs (NYSE:
GS
) the two largest investment banks, may be hard-pressed to see significant trading profits due to low trading volumes. Another potential profit source for the money-center banks – M&A activity – rose 10% sequentially in the second quarter, according to Ernst & Young data. It marked the first increase in the past five quarters. Still, the Euro Zone remained weak, and deals took a long time to complete. Meanwhile, the Facebook IPO (NYSE:
FB
) cast a pall on other potential debuts led by the big banks, and possibly helped to stall the pipeline. One financial group that might be less volatile is the regional banks, including Cincinnati Financial (NASDAQ:
CINF
) and New York Community Bancorp (NYSE:
NYB
), which is closely tied to a potential NYC housing recovery. Tech guidance will be key Tech remains the largest group in the S&P 500, and it is encouraging that Texas Instruments (NYSE:
TXN
) was among the minority of companies that preannounced to the upside. Google (NASDAQ:
GOOG
) will be among the first of the big tech companies to report, followed by Intel (NASDAQ:
INTC
), Yahoo (NASDAQ:
YHOO
), IBM (NYSE:
IBM
) Ebay (NASDAQ:
EBAY
) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:
MSFT
) the week of July 17. No big tech companies that reported in May and June had extremely positive results. And it remains to be seen if Facebook (NYSE:
FB
UHT
), Colony Financial (NASDAQ:
CLNY
) and CapLease Inc. (NYSE:
LSE
). There should be fewer earnings surprises either way with utilities as a group.
Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs

© 2026 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

To add Benzinga News as your preferred source on Google, click here.


Posted In:
NewsConsumer DiscretionaryDepartment StoresHomebuildingRestaurants
AAPL Logo
AAPLApple Inc
$255.30-0.19%
Overview
BAC Logo
BACBank of America Corp
$52.590.08%
CINF Logo
CINFCincinnati Financial Corp
$162.77-%
COST Logo
COSTCostco Wholesale Corp
$1016.20-0.22%
EBAY Logo
EBAYeBay Inc
$82.12-0.32%
F Logo
FFord Motor Co
$14.12-%
FB Logo
FBProShares S&P 500 Dynamic Buffer ETF
$41.72-1.44%
GE Logo
GEGE Aerospace
$315.01-0.13%
GOOG Logo
GOOGAlphabet Inc
$305.81-0.07%
GS Logo
GSThe Goldman Sachs Group Inc
$905.03-0.01%
HON Logo
HONHoneywell International Inc
$241.31-0.03%
IBM Logo
IBMInternational Business Machines Corp
$262.20-0.07%
INTC Logo
INTCIntel Corp
$46.62-0.36%
JPM Logo
JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co
$302.750.07%
KBH Logo
KBHKB Home
$66.400.06%
KO Logo
KOCoca-Cola Co
$78.710.03%
LEN Logo
LENLennar Corp
$122.20-0.07%
LSE Logo
LSELeishen Energy Holding Co Ltd
$5.0716.3%
M Logo
MMacy's Inc
$21.55-0.39%
MCD Logo
MCDMcDonald's Corp
$327.990.13%
MS Logo
MSMorgan Stanley
$172.250.64%
MSFT Logo
MSFTMicrosoft Corp
$400.15-0.29%
NKE Logo
NKENike Inc
$62.93-0.32%
PM Logo
PMPhilip Morris International Inc
$187.750.13%
PRDSY Logo
PRDSYPrada SpA
$10.69-0.09%
TGT Logo
TGTTarget Corp
$115.12-0.55%
TOL Logo
TOLToll Brothers Inc
$166.510.23%
TXN Logo
TXNTexas Instruments Inc
$225.40-0.34%
UHT Logo
UHTUniversal Health Realty Income Trust
$43.20-%
WF Logo
WFWoori Financial Group Inc
$81.250.57%
WFC Logo
WFCWells Fargo & Co
$86.75-0.26%
) can beat expectations in its very first public report, scheduled for July 26. Guidance may be the key for the group, especially from companies like IBM that touch nearly every sector of technology. Gartner is still anticipating a 3% increase in global tech spending this year, although it acknowledges that challenges including the euro zone crisis, a Chinese economic slowdown, and a weaker U.S. recovery warrant continued spending caution. CEO expectations for sales, hiring and capital spending over the next six months all softened in the second quarter, according to the latest Business Roundtable Economic Outlook Survey. Utilities may offer predictability Yes, they can be boring investments. But utilities have been among the strongest stock groups this year. Many investors are using them as yield alternatives right now – a place to hide out until there is more certainty with riskier stock investments. Many are paying double the yields of a U.S. Treasury right now. And some are paying yields near 6%, including Universal Health Realty Income Trust (NYSE:
AAPL Logo
AAPLApple Inc
$255.30-0.19%
Overview
BAC Logo
BACBank of America Corp
$52.590.08%
CINF Logo
CINFCincinnati Financial Corp
$162.77-%
COST Logo
COSTCostco Wholesale Corp
$1016.20-0.22%
EBAY Logo
EBAYeBay Inc
$82.12-0.32%
F Logo
FFord Motor Co
$14.12-%
FB Logo
FBProShares S&P 500 Dynamic Buffer ETF
$41.72-1.44%
GE Logo
GEGE Aerospace
$315.01-0.13%
GOOG Logo
GOOGAlphabet Inc
$305.81-0.07%
GS Logo
GSThe Goldman Sachs Group Inc
$905.03-0.01%
HON Logo
HONHoneywell International Inc
$241.31-0.03%
IBM Logo
IBMInternational Business Machines Corp
$262.20-0.07%
INTC Logo
INTCIntel Corp
$46.62-0.36%
JPM Logo
JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co
$302.750.07%
KBH Logo
KBHKB Home
$66.400.06%
KO Logo
KOCoca-Cola Co
$78.710.03%
LEN Logo
LENLennar Corp
$122.20-0.07%
LSE Logo
LSELeishen Energy Holding Co Ltd
$5.0716.3%
M Logo
MMacy's Inc
$21.55-0.39%
MCD Logo
MCDMcDonald's Corp
$327.990.13%
MS Logo
MSMorgan Stanley
$172.250.64%
MSFT Logo
MSFTMicrosoft Corp
$400.15-0.29%
NKE Logo
NKENike Inc
$62.93-0.32%
PM Logo
PMPhilip Morris International Inc
$187.750.13%
PRDSY Logo
PRDSYPrada SpA
$10.69-0.09%
TGT Logo
TGTTarget Corp
$115.12-0.55%
TOL Logo
TOLToll Brothers Inc
$166.510.23%
TXN Logo
TXNTexas Instruments Inc
$225.40-0.34%
UHT Logo
UHTUniversal Health Realty Income Trust
$43.20-%
WF Logo
WFWoori Financial Group Inc
$81.250.57%
WFC Logo
WFCWells Fargo & Co
$86.75-0.26%
Comments
Loading...