Pavel Molchanov of Raymond James believes that oil prices and energy stocks are within weeks of bottoming, regardless of the outcome from OPEC's upcoming meeting on Thursday.
“That certainly does not mean that we envision a huge near-term oil rally, but even a period of stabilization would support recovery in energy stocks, particularly given the prospect of sector rotation into energy and out of the recently outperforming S&P sectors,” Molchanov wrote in a note on Monday while issuing two upgrades and downgrades.
Hess, Occidental Petroleum Upgraded
Molchanov upgraded shares of Hess Corp. HES to Outperform from Market Perform while shares of Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY were upgraded to Strong Buy from Outperform.
The analyst notes that Hess and Occidental Petroleum are “by no means the most aggressive oil stocks” but the companies are “highly oil-centric” and have underperformed amid the energy sector since the end of June.
Chevron, Exxon Downgraded
Molchanov downgraded shares of Chevron Corporation CVX to Outperform from Strong Buy while shares of Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM were downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform.
The analyst notes that the two companies are “among the world's most conservative energy investments” and have held up “quite well” in recent months. However, with a “less violent” commodity backdrop, shares are unlikely to outperform as investors develop an appetite for “more offensive-type” investments.
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