Market Overview (Member Only)
Stocks I Like
Advanced Micro Devices (Ticker: AMD) (51% Return Potential)
What's Happening
Why It's Happening
Analyst Ratings:
- Morgan Stanley: Equal Weight
- B of A Securities: Neutral
- Mizuho: Outperform
My Action Plan (80% Return Potential)
- I am bullish on AMD above $108.00-$110.00. My upside target is $225.00-$230.00.
Archer Aviation (Ticker: ACHR) (52% Return Potential)
What's Happening
Why It's Happening
Analyst Ratings:
- Cantor Fitzgerald: Overweight
- HC Wainwright: Buy
- Deutsche Bank: Buy
My Action Plan (52% Return Potential)
- I am bullish on ACHR above $8.00-$8.20. My upside target is $17.00-$18.00.
Market-Moving Catalysts for the Week Ahead
Let's Hit the Ground Running in 2025
Stocks were straight up for most of last week but then saw some selling come into the tape on Friday. Remember, this is typical low-volume holiday trading. Yes, we're in the Santa Claus Rally period, which usually favors the upside, but it's not always the case.
Markets will be closed this Wednesday for New Year celebrations, but I'm still of the view that any dips need to be bought in this tape. We could see choppiness persist for the next couple of weeks, which is fine, as I'm still seeing a lot of negative sentiment out there.
2024 will go down as an excellent year for the record books, and with the Fed easing now, I'm not ruling out a full-blown market mania in 2025. So, take this holiday time to rest a bit, because next week, we'll be back into the full swing of things again.
Sector & Industry Strength (Member Only)
It's the final week of 2024 and even with the recent selling, I'm still seeing signs that bulls are in control of this tape. When you see sectors like energy (Ticker: XLE), healthcare (Ticker: XLV), and consumer staples (Ticker: XLP) near the bottom of the sector performance rankings, it tells me that money isn't flowing into defensive areas of the market.
The top-performer since the start of Q2 2024 is still consumer discretionary (Ticker: XLY). Granted, a lot of this has to do with Tesla's recent moves, but it's still a sign that the market has confidence in the consumer for now.
One sector I'm watching closely going into 2025 is industrials. I think a lot of the aerospace components within the index could have a great year. It's also very important that we see tech (Ticker: XLK) start to rise within the rankings in the early part of next year too.
| 1 week | 3 Weeks | 13 Weeks | 26 Weeks |
| Energy | Consumer Discretionary | Consumer Discretionary | Consumer Discretionary |
Editor's Note: Rotation into the laggards last week – shouldn't last if we're still bullish.
The Quantum-Chip Connection – Sector ETF: (Ticker: QTUM) (Ticker: SMH)
In light of recent tech developments surrounding quantum computing, we may have a new craze on our hands going into 2025. For years, we've been hearing about Nvidia and their importance when it comes to A.I. chips, but is that going to soon be a thing of the past?
Look, I'm not saying AI is old news. It's just starting to permeate our everyday lives, but markets are operating in the future. I think the next big thing in tech is quantum computing and AI is going to improve it tremendously.
Google came out with the Willow chip, but will there be other competitors in the space? Check out this ratio between quantum stocks (QTUM) and semiconductors (SMH). We've seen quite the pop and it could be starting a new bull trend here. At some point, I expect there to be some overlap between the two sectors.
Cryptocurrency
Back to analyzing Ethereum this week, as the price action is showing some compelling technical developments. Looking ahead, a decisive move back above the $3,500-$3,600 zone is needed to restore short-term bullish momentum.
Going into next year, it looks like Ethereum is at least 30-50% undervalued. We could see a little more selling near-term, and I'm not completely ruling out a retest of the lows from mid-November in the 2900-3100 zone.
The setup reminds me of similar technical formations we’ve seen in previous crypto bull cycles, with sentiment having reset from recent highs and the broader crypto market showing signs of strength, Ethereum appears poised for potential upside, provided the current technical structure holds.
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