Walmart Stock Rallies Nearly 14% In 2025 So Far As BNY Mellon, Jennison Add WMT In Q4: Technical Analysis Hints At A Looming Pullback

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Walmart Inc. WMT stock is hovering around its 52-week high, up nearly 14% this year, partly due to its recent $34 million acquisition of the Monroeville Mall in Pittsburgh. Despite increased investment positions by many funds in Q4, over-optimistic momentum indicators hint at a likely pullback.

What Happened: The stock surged to a 52-week high of $102.58 apiece in trade on Wednesday before the acquisition announcement on Thursday.

As of Thursday’s close at $102.46 per share, the company’s simple daily moving averages hinted at a bullish uptrend, owing to strength in the stock, according to Benzinga Pro. The share price was much above its 200-day simple moving average of $77.99, and 50-day average of $93.811. It is also higher than its eight-day average of $99.60 and the 20-day average of $95.54.

The momentum indicators were also very strong. While the positive MACD (moving average convergence/divergence) indicator of 2.60 suggested the potential for upward momentum in the near term, the relative strength index of 79.66 showed that the stock was overbought with a pullback or correction is becoming increasingly likely.

Who Bought And Sold Walmart In Q4: While the 13F filings just disclosed the changes for 2,036 holders as of Thursday, more disclosures for the quarter were still expected.

Among those disclosed, Jennison Associates LLC added 6.86 million WMT shares to its portfolio, increasing its stake by 37% with its investment valued at $2.289 billion as of the fourth quarter end. Similarly, Bank of New York Mellon Corporation added 3.927 million shares or 14%, valuing its investment at $2.893 billion by the end of Dec. 31.

CompanyHoldings (as of Sept. 30)Holdings (as of Dec. 31)Change (in %)Value As Of Dec. 31
Bank of New York Mellon Corporation28.093 million32.020 million14%$2.893 billion
Jennison Associate18.479 million25.339 million37%$2.289 billion
Proficio Capital Partners LLC84,6581.600 million1790%$8.169 million
Allspring Global Investments Holdings1.621 million1.330 million-18%$119.718 million
Nordea Investment Management3.097 million2.517 million-19%$227.676 million
Abrdn Plc1.607 million1.484 million-8%$133.895 million

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Valuation Picture: Walmart stock was 1.77 times more expensive with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 37.175 as compared to the industry average of 20.93, according to Benzinga Pro.

However, its rival Costco Wholesale Corp. COST was the most expensive among all its peers with a forward P/E of 57.804, representing a 2.76 times higher valuation as compared to its competitors.

StocksForward P/E
Walmart Inc. WMT37.175
Costco Wholesale Corp. COST57.804
Target Corp. TGT14.225
Dollar General Corp. DG12.034
Dollar Tree Inc. DLTR11.947

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Price Action: WMT was up 0.33% in the premarket on Thursday. The stock has risen 13.4% on a year-to-date basis, whereas the exchange-traded fund tracking S&P 500, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY advanced 3.35% in the same period. Over the last year, WMT rose by 81.02% and SPY was up 22.32%.

The average price target among 31 analysts tracked by Benzinga is $96.58 with a ‘buy' rating. The estimates range from $70 to $115 apiece. Recent ratings from Oppenheimer, Wells Fargo, and UBS suggest a $110.33 target, implying a potential upside of 7.19%.

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