Tariffs Weigh On US Manufacturing: February Prices Grow At Fastest Pace Since 2022

The U.S. manufacturing sector expanded for the second consecutive month in February 2025, following 26 months of contraction. However, the effects of newly imposed tariffs were felt throughout the industry.

The Details: According to the Institute for Supply Management, February's Manufacturing PMI fell to 50.3%, down from 50.9% in January, below market expectations of 50.5% as tracked by Trading Economics.

Overall demand weakened in February, new orders and employment contracted and production growth decelerated sharply. The impact of new tariffs drove prices higher at the fastest pace since June 2022, according to Trading Economics.

New Orders Index: Fell back into contraction at 48.6%, down 6.5 percentage points from January’s 55.1%.
Production Index: Recorded 50.7%, a decline of 1.8 percentage points from January, but still in expansion.
Prices Index: Surged to 62.4%, up 7.5 percentage points, reflecting increased input costs due to tariffs.
Employment Index: Dropped to 47.6%, signaling contraction as companies continued cautious hiring and workforce reductions.
New Export Orders Index: Declined slightly to 51.4%, while the Imports Index rose to 52.6%.

Four of the six largest manufacturing industries, Petroleum & Coal Products, Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products, Chemical Products and Transportation Equipment, reported growth for the month.

"Demand eased, production stabilized, and destaffing continued as panelists' companies experience the first operational shock of the new administration's tariff policy. Prices growth accelerated due to tariffs, causing new order placement backlogs, supplier delivery stoppages and manufacturing inventory impacts," said Timothy R. Fiore, Chair of the ISM Manufacturing Business Survey Committee.

Market Reactions

All 3 major indices are red in early trading Monday as the deadline for additional tariffs looms later in the week.

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY, tracking the S&P 500, was down 0.26% at $592.66 and the Invesco QQQ Trust QQQ, tracking the Nasdaq 100 index, was down 0.31% at $506.57 at the time of publication.

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