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Comerica

With assets of around $80 billion, Comerica is primarily a relationship-based commercial bank headquartered in Dallas. In addition to Texas, Comerica's other primary geographies are California and Michigan, with locations also in Arizona and Florida and select businesses operating in several other states as well as Canada and Mexico.

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Comerica Q4 Earnings: Revenue And EPS Fall Short Amid Loan Pressures, Eyes 2025 Growth

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Throughout the last three months, 16 analysts have evaluated Comerica (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>), offering a diverse set of opinions from bullish to bearish.
Summarizing their recent assessments, the table below illustrates the evolving sentiments in the past 30 days and compares them to the preceding months.
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th></th>
<th align="right">Bullish</th>
<th align="right">Somewhat Bullish</th>
<th align="right">Indifferent</th>
<th align="right">Somewhat Bearish</th>
<th align="right">Bearish</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Total Ratings</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">5</td>
<td align="right">7</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Last 30D</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">3</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1M Ago</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2M Ago</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>3M Ago</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
Analysts have set 12-month price targets for Comerica, revealing an average target of $73.75, a high estimate of $85.00, and a low estimate of $64.00. Witnessing a positive shift, the current average has risen by 4.24% from the previous average price target of $70.75.
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1737666011_0.png" alt="price target chart" />
<h2>Breaking Down Analyst Ratings: A Detailed Examination</h2>
In examining recent analyst actions, we gain insights into how financial experts perceive Comerica. The following summary outlines key analysts, their recent evaluations, and adjustments to ratings and price targets.
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Analyst</th>
<th>Analyst Firm</th>
<th>Action Taken</th>
<th>Rating</th>
<th>Current Price Target</th>
<th>Prior Price Target</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Manan Gosalia</td>
<td>Morgan Stanley</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Equal-Weight</td>
<td>$71.00</td>
<td>$76.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Karl Shepard</td>
<td>RBC Capital</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Outperform</td>
<td>$76.00</td>
<td>$78.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Peter Winter</td>
<td>DA Davidson</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Neutral</td>
<td>$67.00</td>
<td>$71.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Christopher Mcgratty</td>
<td>Keefe, Bruyette &amp; Woods</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Outperform</td>
<td>$77.00</td>
<td>$82.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>David George</td>
<td>Baird</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Outperform</td>
<td>$75.00</td>
<td>$80.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ryan Nash</td>
<td>Goldman Sachs</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Neutral</td>
<td>$71.00</td>
<td>$85.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Anthony Elian</td>
<td>JP Morgan</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Neutral</td>
<td>$70.00</td>
<td>$73.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jason Goldberg</td>
<td>Barclays</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Underweight</td>
<td>$68.00</td>
<td>$66.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nicholas Holowko</td>
<td>UBS</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Sell</td>
<td>$64.00</td>
<td>$60.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>David Rochester</td>
<td>Compass Point</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$80.00</td>
<td>$64.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Christopher Mcgratty</td>
<td>Keefe, Bruyette &amp; Woods</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Outperform</td>
<td>$82.00</td>
<td>$72.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Scott Siefers</td>
<td>Piper Sandler</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Neutral</td>
<td>$72.00</td>
<td>$64.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ryan Nash</td>
<td>Goldman Sachs</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$85.00</td>
<td>$71.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>David George</td>
<td>Baird</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Outperform</td>
<td>$80.00</td>
<td>$75.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mike Mayo</td>
<td>Wells Fargo</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Equal-Weight</td>
<td>$73.00</td>
<td>$51.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>John Pancari</td>
<td>Evercore ISI Group</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>In-Line</td>
<td>$69.00</td>
<td>$64.00</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<h3>Key Insights:</h3>
<ul>
<li>Action Taken: Analysts respond to changes in market conditions and company performance, frequently updating their recommendations. Whether they 'Maintain', 'Raise' or 'Lower' their stance, it reflects their reaction to recent developments related to Comerica. This information offers a snapshot of how analysts perceive the current state of the company.</li>
<li>Rating: Analysts assign qualitative assessments to stocks, ranging from 'Outperform' to 'Underperform'. These ratings convey the analysts' expectations for the relative performance of Comerica compared to the broader market.</li>
<li>Price Targets: Analysts gauge the dynamics of price targets, providing estimates for the future value of Comerica's stock. This comparison reveals trends in analysts' expectations over time.</li>
</ul>
For valuable insights into Comerica's market performance, consider these analyst evaluations alongside crucial financial indicators. Stay well-informed and make prudent decisions using our Ratings Table.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/CMA/analyst-ratings?utm_source=Benzinga Insights">Stay up to date on Comerica analyst ratings.</a>
<h2>Get to Know Comerica Better</h2>
With assets of around $80 billion, Comerica is primarily a relationship-based commercial bank headquartered in Dallas. In addition to Texas, Comerica's other primary geographies are California and Michigan, with locations also in Arizona and Florida and select businesses operating in several other states as well as Canada and Mexico.
<h3>Financial Milestones: Comerica's Journey</h3>
Market Capitalization Analysis: The company's market capitalization is below the industry average, suggesting that it is relatively smaller compared to peers. This could be due to various factors, including perceived growth potential or operational scale.
Negative Revenue Trend: Examining Comerica's financials over 3 months reveals challenges. As of 30 September, 2024, the company experienced a decline of approximately -9.49% in revenue growth, reflecting a decrease in top-line earnings. As compared to its peers, the revenue growth lags behind its industry peers. The company achieved a growth rate lower than the average among peers in Financials sector.
Net Margin: Comerica's net margin surpasses industry standards, highlighting the company's exceptional financial performance. With an impressive 21.82% net margin, the company effectively manages costs and achieves strong profitability.
Return on Equity (ROE): Comerica's ROE is below industry standards, pointing towards difficulties in efficiently utilizing equity capital. With an ROE of 2.78%, the company may encounter challenges in delivering satisfactory returns for shareholders.
Return on Assets (ROA): Comerica's ROA is below industry standards, pointing towards difficulties in efficiently utilizing assets. With an ROA of 0.22%, the company may encounter challenges in delivering satisfactory returns from its assets.
Debt Management: The company maintains a balanced debt approach with a debt-to-equity ratio below industry norms, standing at 0.97.
<h2>Analyst Ratings: Simplified</h2>
Analyst ratings serve as essential indicators of stock performance, provided by experts in banking and financial systems. These specialists diligently analyze company financial statements, participate in conference calls, and engage with insiders to generate quarterly ratings for individual stocks.
In addition to their assessments, some analysts extend their insights by offering predictions for key metrics such as earnings, revenue, and growth estimates. This supplementary information provides further guidance for traders. It is crucial to recognize that, despite their specialization, analysts are human and can only provide forecasts based on their beliefs.
Which Stocks Are Analysts Recommending Now?
Benzinga Edge gives you instant access to all major analyst upgrades, downgrades, and price targets. Sort by accuracy, upside potential, and more. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-checkout/?t=be8be9arja3be22bz21&amp;utm_source=benzinga-insights">Click here to stay ahead of the market</a>.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

A Glimpse Into The Expert Outlook On Comerica Through 16 Analysts

Morgan Stanley analyst Manan Gosalia maintains Comerica (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>) with a Equal-Weight and lowers the price target from $76 to $71.

Morgan Stanley Maintains Equal-Weight on Comerica, Lowers Price Target to $71

RBC Capital analyst Karl Shepard maintains Comerica (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>) with a Outperform and lowers the price target from $78 to $76.

RBC Capital Maintains Outperform on Comerica, Lowers Price Target to $76

DA Davidson analyst Peter Winter maintains Comerica (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $71 to $67.

DA Davidson Maintains Neutral on Comerica, Lowers Price Target to $67

Keefe, Bruyette &amp; Woods analyst Christopher Mcgratty maintains Comerica (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>) with a Outperform and lowers the price target from $82 to $77.

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Maintains Outperform on Comerica, Lowers Price Target to $77

Baird analyst David George maintains Comerica (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>) with a Outperform and lowers the price target from $80 to $75.

Baird Maintains Outperform on Comerica, Lowers Price Target to $75

WIIM

Comerica shares are trading lower after the company reported Q4 adjusted EPS and revenue that missed analyst estimates.

Comerica Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>) shares are trading lower in premarket Wednesday after the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/0000028412/000002841225000005/cma-20250122.htm" rel="noreferrer noopener">fourth-quarter FY24 earnings result</a>.
The financial services company reported a fourth-quarter revenue increase of 5.5% to $825 million, missing the analyst consensus estimate of $837.98 million.
Net interest income increased $41 million to $575 million quarter-on-quarter, reflecting a strategic growth in core interest-bearing deposits and relationship-focused pricing.
Adjusted EPS of $1.20 also <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/earnings">missed the consensus estimate of $1.28.</a>
Average loans in the fourth quarter amounted to $50.62 billion and the return on average assets stood at 0.85%. Efficiency ratio for the quarter was 69.51.
Nonperforming assets increased $58 million to $308 million, or 0.61% of total loans and foreclosed property, compared to 0.50% in the third quarter of 2024.
The company held $850 in cash and equivalents as of December 31, 2024.
Curtis C. Farmer, Comerica Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, stated, &#8220;As expected, loans were pressured by paydowns in Commercial Real Estate, but we saw promising signals across other businesses that support our outlook for growth in 2025. Although some uncertainty remains, we believe customer sentiment is generally more optimistic about the future of the economy and plans for increased investment in their businesses.&#8221;
Outlook: Comerica <a target="_blank" href="https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/0000028412/000002841225000005/cma-20250122.htm" rel="noreferrer noopener">sees </a>FY25 net interest income growth of 6% &#8211; 7%, including the impact of BSBY cessation.
For the first quarter, the company expects net interest income to decline 1% &#8211; 2% sequentially, including the impact of BSBY cessation.
The company targets share repurchases at approximately <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/guidance" rel="noreferrer noopener">$50 million in the first quarter of 2025</a>.
Price Action: CMA shares traded lower by 1.78% at $65.20 in premarket at the last check Wednesday.
Image: Shutterstock/ fizkes.

Comerica (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>) reported quarterly adjusted earnings of $1.20 per share which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $1.26 by 4.76 percent. This is a 17.81 percent decrease over earnings of $1.46 per share from the same period last year. The company reported quarterly sales of $825.00 million which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $837.57 million by 1.50 percent. This is a 5.50 percent increase over sales of $782.00 million the same period last year.

Earnings Misses

Comerica Q4 Adj $1.20 Misses $1.26 Estimate, Sales $825.00M Miss $837.57M Estimate

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• Cathay General (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CATY#NASDAQ">CATY</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $1.09 per share on revenue of $185.11 million. 
• Bankwell Finl Gr (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BWFG#NASDAQ">BWFG</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.65 per share on revenue of $22.12 million. 
• Third Coast Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCBX#NASDAQ">TCBX</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.53 per share on revenue of $41.96 million. 
• Plexus (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PLXS#NASDAQ">PLXS</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $1.55 per share on revenue of $980.53 million. 
• Live Oak Bancshares (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LOB#NYSE">LOB</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.54 per share on revenue of $131.10 million. 
• Amerant Bancorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMTB#NYSE">AMTB</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.36 per share on revenue of $100.68 million. 
• Horizon Bancorp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HBNC#NASDAQ">HBNC</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.37 per share on revenue of $62.78 million. 
• Cadence Bank (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CADE#NYSE">CADE</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.68 per share on revenue of $457.77 million. 
• Colony Bankcorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CBAN#NYSE">CBAN</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.34 per share on revenue of $28.90 million. 
• Banner (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BANR#NASDAQ">BANR</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $1.21 per share on revenue of $156.09 million. 
• Alcoa (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AA#NYSE">AA</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.91 per share on revenue of $3.29 billion. 
• Discover Finl (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DFS#NYSE">DFS</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $3.26 per share on revenue of $4.39 billion. 
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

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Earnings Scheduled For January 22, 2025

Goldman Sachs analyst Ryan Nash downgrades Comerica (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>) from Buy to Neutral and lowers the price target from $85 to $71.

Goldman Sachs Downgrades Comerica to Neutral, Lowers Price Target to $71

Regional banks still have room to run and thrive even as it is &#8220;easy to overstate the advantage&#8221; for big banks, says Truist Securities in its latest note, highlighting three key paths for regional banks to succeed.
What Happened: Big banks have clear economies of scale, and they have been re-rated relative to small banks with the top five U.S. banks holding about 47% market share for a decade. According to the Truist Securities note, dated Jan. 6, the big banks are in a better position, but at the same time, individual regionals can position themselves to thrive.
Truist initiated coverage on 14 regional financial companies outlining three key strategies relating to pace, magnitude, and quality for the regional banks to remain competitive.
<ul>
<li>Differentiated Growth: Focus on unique and sustainable growth opportunities via differentiated customer base, a different form of fee Income and a niche business with competitive moat. </li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Disciplined Capital Allocation: Efficiently deploy capital to support growth and enhance shareholder value.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Navigating the Evolving Landscape: Adapt to changing market conditions, including interest rates, yield curve shifts, loan and deposit growth, and commercial real estate market dynamics.&#8221;</li>
</ul>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Regional Banks</td>
<td>Rating</td>
<td>Price Target</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FITB#NASDAQ">FITB</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$51</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HBAN#NASDAQ">HBAN</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$19</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>M&amp;T Bank (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTB#NYSE">MTB</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$233</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Wintrust Financial (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$151</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Citizens Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$49</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Comerica Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$65</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>First Citizens BancShares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCNCA#NASDAQ">FCNCA</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$2,303</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>KeyCorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KEY#NYSE">KEY</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$19</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Regions Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RF#NYSE">RF</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$25</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Cards</td>
<td>Rating</td>
<td>Price Target</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ally Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALLY#NYSE">ALLY</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$42</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>American Express (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AXP#NYSE">AXP</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$350</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Capital One Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COF#NYSE">COF</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$229</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Discover Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DFS#NYSE">DFS</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$233</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Synchrony Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SYF#NYSE">SYF</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$72</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/01/42867184/yield-curve-normalization-cheap-valuation-eps-growth-to-boost-banks-in-2025-truist-initiates-coverage-on-these-14-regional-names">Yield Curve Normalization, Cheap Valuation, EPS Growth To Boost Banks In 2025: Truist Initiates Coverage On These 14 Regional Names</a>
Why It Matters: The three listed key paths for regional banks and card companies to thrive can be differentiated and linked to the stocks as mentioned by Truist in their research note.
Differentiated Growth Stories
<ul>
<li>Differentiated Customer Base: American Express Co has an exclusive high-end customer base, which would require an investment of over $100 billion to replicate, according to Truist. On the other hand, Fifth Third Bancorp has a unique ability to organically build a strong deposit market share.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Differentiated Form of Fee Income: Capital One Financial Corp has seen an expansion of network revenues following the acquisition of Discover. While, KeyCorp&#8217;s leading regional investment banking franchise will be favored by given the potential for increased deal activity driven by the Federal Reserve&#8217;s interest rate cuts and anticipated political changes.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Niche Business with Competitive Moat: Wintrust Financial Corp secures a dominant position in the highly profitable insurance premium finance market. Whereas, Huntington Bancshares Inc&#8216;s differentiated approach, including its expansion into new lending areas, will support its continued strong performance in loan, deposit, and fee growth across high-quality markets.</li>
</ul>
Disciplined Capital Deployment
<ul>
<li>Another way in which the regional banks could thrive includes a disciplined capital deployment which typically follows organic growth first, followed by dividends and buybacks, and potentially mergers and acquisitions. However, the key lies not in the order itself, but in the flexibility and agility with which banks can adjust their capital allocation strategy in response to evolving company, industry, and macroeconomic conditions.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Truist believes some banks are attractively valued for share repurchases. M&amp;T Bank Corp&#8216;s CFO in a recent conference hinted at higher buybacks in 2025.</li>
</ul>
Navigating The Evolving Landscape
<ul>
<li>According to Truist, it&#8217;s not unusual for multiple challenges to arise simultaneously. The current environment has witnessed sluggish loan and deposit growth amidst rapid interest rate hikes. However, it is anticipated that at least some of these headwinds will begin to abate in the coming year, leading to a more favorable environment for the banking sector</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>CRE Valuation: Banks with significant commercial real estate exposure in high-growth, high-income markets, such as Fifth Third and Huntington, are well-positioned for future CRE origination opportunities. M&amp;T and Citizens Financial Group Inc. will also benefit from an eventual improvement in market conditions.</li>
</ul>
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/01/42836744/baby-its-cold-outside-these-5-winter-ready-stocks-have-what-it-takes-to-make-you-feel-warm-and-cozy" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Baby, It's Cold Outside: These 5 Winter-Ready Stocks Have What It Takes To Make You Feel Warm And Cozy</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Analysts at <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/truist-securities">Truist Securities</a> initiated coverage on 24 large-cap, regional, and trust banks, as well as credit card companies. They anticipate strong earnings growth over the next two years, projecting an annual increase of 12-15% fueled by factors like improving loan growth, a steeper yield curve, and ample capital for expansion.
What Happened: Forecasting a favorable environment for banks in 2025 and 2026, the analysts at Truist foresee a less stringent regulatory environment, with more clarity and flexibility for banks regarding mergers and acquisitions, and the deployment of excess capital.
The note highlighted that the banking stocks were de-rated during the first two years of Trump 1.0 because the yield curve was flattened and late-cycle macro concerns surfaced, even as the administration enacted bank-friendly tax reform and regulatory tailoring. However, according to the brokerage, a little Fed easing and a steeper curve are necessary for the stocks to be re-rated and two rate cuts are expected in 2025, as hinted by Fed during their December meeting. 
According to Truist, while bank valuations have increased, they remain relatively attractive compared to historical levels. They currently trade at a price-to-book value (P/TBV) below their post-financial crisis average, and at a significant discount to the broader market. The note adds that given the current market valuations, bank stocks appear undervalued relative to the S&amp;P 500.
However, despite Truist beliefs that the sector offers attractive opportunities, careful stock selection is crucial according to them. &#8220;While we're not at &#8216;close your eyes and buy ‘em levels,&#8217; we still see attractive opportunities across the sector and view stock selection as increasingly important,&#8221; the note said.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/01/42836744/baby-its-cold-outside-these-5-winter-ready-stocks-have-what-it-takes-to-make-you-feel-warm-and-cozy">Baby, It&#8217;s Cold Outside: These 5 Winter-Ready Stocks Have What It Takes To Make You Feel Warm And Cozy</a>
Why It Matters: Truist&#8217;s coverage on 24 financial stocks is spread across three subgroups namely, large-cap, regional, and trust banks, which is initiated with a positive outlook.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Large-Cap Banks</h3>
The research note examines long-term investment potential of large U.S. banks as these institutions possess significant advantages, including, &#8220;embedded offense&#8221; with the presence of strong existing businesses and customer relationships.
It also anticipates cyclical tailwinds and capital leverage for such banks given a favorable economic environment and the ability to effectively utilize capital for growth.
These factors position large U.S. banks to achieve organic growth by the expansion of core businesses, double-digit earnings growth and an attractive returns on equity.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Large Cap Banks</td>
<td>Rating</td>
<td>Price Target</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bank of America (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$52</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Citigroup (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$85</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Wells Fargo (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$82</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$260</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>PNC Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNC#NYSE">PNC</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$215</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>US Bancorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USB#NYSE">USB</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$54</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Regional Banks And Cards</h3>
Truist also initiated coverage on 14 regional financial companies outlining three key strategies for regional banks to remain competitive.
<ul>
<li>Differentiated Growth: Focus on unique and sustainable growth opportunities.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Disciplined Capital Allocation: Efficiently deploy capital to support growth and enhance shareholder value.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Navigating the Evolving Landscape: Adapt to changing market conditions, including interest rates, yield curve shifts, loan and deposit growth, and commercial real estate market dynamics.</li>
</ul>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Regional Banks</td>
<td>Rating</td>
<td>Price Target</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FITB#NASDAQ">FITB</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$51</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HBAN#NASDAQ">HBAN</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$19</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>M&amp;T Bank (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTB#NYSE">MTB</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$233</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Wintrust Financial (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$151</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Citizens Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$49</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Comerica Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$65</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>First Citizens BancShares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCNCA#NASDAQ">FCNCA</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$2,303</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>KeyCorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KEY#NYSE">KEY</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$19</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Regions Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RF#NYSE">RF</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$25</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Cards</td>
<td>Rating</td>
<td>Price Target</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ally Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALLY#NYSE">ALLY</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$42</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>American Express (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AXP#NYSE">AXP</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$350</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Capital One Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COF#NYSE">COF</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$229</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Discover Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DFS#NYSE">DFS</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$233</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Synchrony Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SYF#NYSE">SYF</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$72</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Trust Banks And Capital Markets</h3>
Truist anticipates gradual interest rate decreases, the eventual end of quantitative tightening, and a healthy economy and capital markets providing a competitive landscape to trust banks.
According to the analysts, investors should prioritize stocks with the potential for sustained operating leverage. Which is the ability to increase profitability significantly with relatively small increases in revenue. And stocks with strong capital returns, with high levels of income through dividends and share buybacks.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Trust Banks And Capital Markets</td>
<td>Rating</td>
<td>Price Target</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BK#NYSE">BK</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$91</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Charles Schwab (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCHW#NYSE">SCHW</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$86</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Northern Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NTRS#NASDAQ">NTRS</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$110</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>State Street (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STT#NYSE">STT</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$106</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
Image via Shutterstock
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42813271/as-billionaires-load-up-on-energy-stocks-given-trumps-proposed-policies-this-analyst-highlights-charlie-mungers-1962-oil-investment-which-can-outperform-all-the-rest">As Warren Buffett And Other Billionaires Load Up On Energy Stocks, This Analyst Highlights Charlie Munger&#8217;s 1962 Oil Investment Which Can &#8216;Outperform All The Rest&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>

JP Morgan analyst Anthony Elian maintains Comerica (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $73 to $70.

JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on Comerica, Lowers Price Target to $70

A stronger lending environment, stable credit and renewed confidence in valuations could set the stage for a multiyear rally on U.S. regional banks, with some analysts predicting up to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/regional-banks">20% upside in 2025.</a>
Three major investment banks — JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., Bank of America and Goldman Sachs — released fresh outlooks on regional banks Tuesday, issuing rating changes, top stock picks and sector recommendations for 2025.
Overall, analysts at all three firms are optimistic. Goldman Sachs analyst Ryan Nash, for example, highlighted several factors likely to improve sector fundamentals in 2025:
<ul>
<li>Loan Growth Recovery: While still slow, loan growth is expected to accelerate to 6%-7% by the second half of 2025 as corporations resume borrowing.</li>
<li>Net Interest Income Growth: A steeper yield curve and the repricing of fixed-rate assets are anticipated to boost NII. Nash expects margins to expand from the current 3.03% to 3.31% in 2025.</li>
<li>Fee Income Rebound: Treasury management, payments, and capital markets are set to improve, helping banks diversify revenue streams.</li>
<li>Stable Credit Conditions: Credit losses, measured by net charge-offs, are projected to remain flat or decline, while reserves could decrease as economic clarity improves.</li>
</ul>
<ol>
<li></li>
</ol>
According to Nash, the stocks of regional banks are trading at approximately 11.5 times estimated 2025 earnings—near their historical averages but with room for valuation expansion. 
The sector could generate returns on tangible common equity of 14%-15%, compared to 16% pre-2023.
This suggests the group could rise as much as 20% next year, according to Goldman Sachs, assuming the market gains confidence in forward earnings.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Goldman Sachs: Upgrades Zions, Downgrades Comerica</h3>
Goldman Sachs upgraded Zions Bancorp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ZION#NASDAQ">ZION</a>) from Neutral to Buy. The firm predicts a significant upside for the stock, with shares potentially reaching $70 in 2025.
Goldman downgraded Comerica Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>) from Buy to Neutral, citing challenges in deposit management, fee income pressure, and elevated expense growth. Comerica's margins are expected to improve in 2025. But Nash sees limited upside, with shares already trading near their fair value of $70.
Goldman's top picks for 2025 include Truist Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TFC#NYSE">TFC</a>), Regions Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RF#NYSE">RF</a>), KeyCorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KEY#NYSE">KEY</a>) and Citizens Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>).
Analysts remain positive on Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FITB#NASDAQ">FITB</a>), Huntington Bancshares Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HBAN#NASDAQ">HBAN</a>) and First Citizens BancShares Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCNCA#NASDAQ">FCNCA</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">The Case For Valuation Upside</h3>
JPMorgan Chase analysts are similarly bullish, indicating that regional banks are trading at just 1.4x their projected 2025 tangible book value, below the 1.8-2x historical range.
Anthony Elian, a JPMorgan analyst, said regional banks&#8217; valuations appear favorable relative to the broader market.
&#8220;While inflation remains above target, the steeper yield curve coupled with gradual rate cuts should serve as a favorable backdrop for regional banks,&#8221; Elian said. 
He expects the sector to attract more interest from generalist investors in 2025, further supporting valuations.
JPMorgan identified several regional banks with strong upside potential, including First Horizon Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FHN#NYSE">FHN</a>), Synovus Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNV#NYSE">SNV</a>) and Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNFP#NASDAQ">PNFP</a>). These names are expected to benefit from rebounding loan demand, robust deposit bases, and favorable capital return dynamics.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Improving Regulatory Environment </h3>
Bank of America analyst Ebrahim H. Poonawala also indicated that regional banks are poised to outperform the broader market in 2025, citing stronger earnings growth, discounted valuations, and a more predictable regulatory environment.
While Wells Fargo &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>) remains BofA's top pick, the bank also flagged KeyCorp and Huntington Bancshares Inc. as preferred names within regional banks.
The analyst highlighted a favorable backdrop for small- and mid-cap regional banks, particularly those with exposure to rebounding loan demand and capital return opportunities. 
Among these, BofA sees First Horizon Corp. and Synovus as potentially strong performers.
Bank of America highlights that looser regulation is a positive tailwind for the sector.
&#8220;Headlines tied to regulatory&nbsp;changes&nbsp;(once Trump appointees take charge)&nbsp;could kick-in as a positive catalyst&nbsp;for stocks,&#8221; Poonawala said. 
&#8220;We see Fed Vice Chair Michael Barr&#8216;s decision to step down from his position as vice chair of supervision as the opening act.&nbsp;End to Fed&#8217;s QT&nbsp;program&nbsp;could also&nbsp;serve&nbsp;as a positive for deposit growth/pricing,&#8221; he added. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reactions</h3>
The SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) was 0.4% lower on Tuesday, while the Invesco KBW Bank ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KBWB#NASDAQ">KBWB</a>) rose by 0.5%. 
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Image: Shutterstock

Barclays analyst Jason Goldberg maintains Comerica (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>) with a Underweight and raises the price target from $66 to $68.

Barclays Maintains Underweight on Comerica, Raises Price Target to $68

Regional bank stocks have been on a tear since the 2024 U.S. election, with the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) climbing about 10% versus the broader <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42536512/market-breadth-worsens-as-tech-giants-break-free-from-sp-500-reality-is-this-bullish-or-bearish-for-2025">S&amp;P 500&#8217;s 5% gain. </a>
Despite this already strong outperformance, JPMorgan analysts, led by Anthony Elian, CFA, see more upside.
The key drivers? A potential Trump administration's pro-business stance, easing regulation and a favorable interest rate backdrop.
In a note shared with clients on Tuesday, Elian indicated that investors — long on the sidelines due to frustrations such as regulation, rising deposit costs and the Spring 2023 banking turmoil — are beginning to show renewed interest in the sector.
&#8220;Our optimism for the group is not only driven by the likelihood of improving fundamentals next year in areas such as loan growth, deposit growth, and NIM expansion, but also tied to the fact that dozens of generalists and long only investors that we have spoken to since the election are showing increasing interest in the group but have not yet pulled the buy trigger en masse,&#8221; Elian said.
In essence, analysts at the U.S. largest investment bank are bullish on regional banks heading into 2025, with a strong case for 20% upside. 
Here's where they'd put $1,000 to work.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Why 2025 Could Be A Breakout Year For Regionals</h1>
According to JPMorgan, key catalysts driving stock gains across the industry next year include:
<ul>
<li>A revival in loan growth spurred by onshoring trends.</li>
<li>A deregulatory push from the upcoming Donald Trump&#8216;s administration, particularly if Basel III Endgame proposals are halted.</li>
<li>Improved M&amp;A activity, with banks like Comerica Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>), First Horizon Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FHN#NYSE">FHN</a>), and Zions Bancorporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ZION#NASDAQ">ZION</a>) potentially benefiting.</li>
<li>Lower corporate taxes supporting bottom-line profitability.</li>
<li>A steep yield curve and the Fed's expected rate cuts in 2025, which could reduce deposit costs and boost Net Interest Margins (NIM).</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Rate Cuts, Deposit Costs: A Big Win For Banks</h1>
JPMorgan highlights that deposit costs, which are tied to the Fed funds rate, remain critical to bank profitability.
As of the third quarter of 2024, the median cost of interest-bearing deposits stood at 3.5%, with higher-paying banks like Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCBI#NASDAQ">TCBI</a>), Flagstar Financial Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FLG#NYSE">FLG</a>) and Valley National Bancorp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VLY#NASDAQ">VLY</a>) above 4%.
Banks paying higher rates have the most room to benefit as the Fed eases monetary policy in 2025. 
Lower-beta deposits, like those at First Hawaiian Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FHB#NASDAQ">FHB</a>) and Webster Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WBS#NYSE">WBS</a>), offer less flexibility for adjustments. 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">JPMorgan's $1,000 Allocation Strategy</h1>
For retail investors looking to capitalize on regional bank momentum, JPMorgan provides a clear allocation breakdown:
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Stock</th>
<th>Allocation ($)</th>
<th>Rating</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Western Alliance Bancorporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WAL#NYSE">WAL</a>)</td>
<td>$110</td>
<td>Overweight</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>First Citizens BancShares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCNCA#NASDAQ">FCNCA</a>)</td>
<td>$105</td>
<td>Overweight</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pinnacle Financial Partners (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNFP#NASDAQ">PNFP</a>)</td>
<td>$102</td>
<td>Overweight</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Synovus Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNV#NYSE">SNV</a>)</td>
<td>$94</td>
<td>Overweight</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Webster Financial Corp. </td>
<td>$92</td>
<td>Overweight</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Valley National Bancorp </td>
<td>$90</td>
<td>Overweight</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Zions Bancorp. </td>
<td>$80</td>
<td>Neutral</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>First Horizon Corp. </td>
<td>$78</td>
<td>Neutral</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Comerica Inc. </td>
<td>$65</td>
<td>Neutral</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Flagstar Financial </td>
<td>$62</td>
<td>Neutral</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Columbia Banking System (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COLB#NASDAQ">COLB</a>)</td>
<td>$40</td>
<td>Neutral</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>First Hawaiian Inc. </td>
<td>$30</td>
<td>Underweight</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Texas Capital Bancshares </td>
<td>$30</td>
<td>Underweight</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Top Picks For 2025</h1>
JPMorgan highlights Western Alliance Corp, First Citizens BancShares and Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc. its top picks for regional banks in 2025, citing their relative strength in loan growth, cost efficiency and positioning for upside.
JPMorgan also rates Synovus Financial Corp., Webster Financial Corp. and Valley National Bancorp at Overweight, pointing to solid fundamentals and opportunities for growth.
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The images used was created using artificial intelligence MidJourney.

UBS analyst Nicholas Holowko assumes Comerica (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>) with a Sell rating and raises Price Target to $64.

UBS Assumes Comerica at Sell, Raises Price Target to $64

Compass Point analyst David Rochester maintains Comerica (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>) with a Buy and raises the price target from $64 to $80.

Compass Point Maintains Buy on Comerica, Raises Price Target to $80

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