Fed's Adriana Kugler 'Will Support' For More Rate Cuts If Inflation Declines

In a recent statement, Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler expressed her support for additional interest rate cuts, contingent on continued decreases in inflation. This announcement was made during her speech at the European Central Bank.

What Happened: Kugler emphasized the importance of balancing inflation control with employment growth, aligning with the Federal Open Market Committee’s dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment. She noted that the recent economic performance, marked by declining inflation and a cooling labor market, permits a more patient approach to monetary policy adjustments.

“If progress on inflation continues as I expect, I will support additional cuts in the federal funds rate to move toward a more neutral policy stance over time,” Kugler said.

However, she stressed that any policy decisions would remain data-dependent, considering various economic indicators and potential risks.

See Also: Why Nasdaq, S&P 500 Futures Are Sharply Lower On Monday

The Fed’s recent decision to cut the federal funds rate by 50 basis points in September was supported by Kugler, who believes that continued progress in reducing inflation justifies further easing of monetary policy. She also mentioned monitoring economic effects from events like Hurricane Helene and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which could impact the U.S. economic outlook.

Why It Matters: The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions are closely watched by markets and economists alike. Recent developments have shown that stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data and rising oil prices are influencing market expectations for the Fed's upcoming November meeting. Initially, traders anticipated a 50-basis-point rate cut, but now a smaller 25-basis-point move or even a pause in the Fed's easing cycle is being considered.

This shift in expectations is partly due to the robust nature of the U.S. economy, as highlighted by strategist David Roche, who argued that the economy does not require rock-bottom interest rates. Roche’s comments underscore the potential market instability that could arise from the Fed’s aggressive rate cuts, suggesting that the U.S. economy is dynamic and resilient compared to other global economies.

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This story was generated using Benzinga Neuro and edited by Pooja Rajkumari