As we navigate the twists and turns of the 2025 housing market—soaring interest rates, stubbornly high home prices, and an economy that feels like it's caught between gears—it's hard not to think of the late Charlie Munger.
The legendary investor, who passed away at 99 in November 2023, had a front-row seat to nearly every economic cycle you can imagine. And while he's no longer here to give us his sharp, no-nonsense advice, his words still echo, especially in times like these.
At the 2022 Daily Journal DJCO shareholders meeting, Munger summed up market cycles in the way only he could: blunt, clear, and unapologetically wise.
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"If you're going to invest in stocks for the long term or real estate, of course there are going to be periods when there's a lot of agony and other periods when there's a boom," he said. "And I think you just have to learn to live through them."
Fast-forward to 2025, and those words couldn't feel more relevant. Right now, we're in the thick of what many are calling a "bumpy recovery" in the housing market. Zillow predicts more buyers will re-enter the game this year, but unpredictable mortgage rates are still casting long shadows. Fannie Mae isn't exactly optimistic either, suggesting the market will remain "frozen" for many, thanks to affordability issues and the notorious "lock-in effect" that's keeping homeowners from trading up or down.
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But here's the thing: Munger had seen it all before. Booms, busts, recessions, recoveries—different players, same game. His advice wasn't about trying to outsmart the cycle; it was about surviving it.
Quoting Rudyard Kipling, Munger reminded investors, "Treat those two imposters just the same." Whether it's a bull market or a housing slump, the lesson is clear: don't get too high during the booms, and don't fall apart during the busts.
Think about it. We just came out of a massive boom fueled by low interest rates, pandemic-era shifts, and, more recently, the AI-driven economic surge. Now things feel shaky. But as Munger stated:
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"You have to deal with daylight and night. Does that bother you very much? No. Sometimes it's night and sometimes it's daylight. Sometimes it's a boom. Sometimes it's a bust. I believe in doing as well as you can and keep going as long as they let you."
So, what does that mean if you're thinking about buying a house or holding onto property in 2025? It means staying grounded. Markets recover. Prices adjust. Interest rates don't stay high forever. Just like Munger saw with countless economic cycles before, this too shall pass.
History doesn't repeat itself perfectly, but it sure does rhyme. And Munger's wisdom? That never goes out of style.
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