Longtime analyst and trader Peter Brandt told his over 607,000 Twitter followers that Bitcoin BTC/USD has violated a key metric in its bullish advance. Brandt, a Futures/FX career trader since 1975, is known for calling the beginning of the previous bear market in early 2018.
I saw the violation of the parabolic advance and commented on it in real time to members of @BitcoinLive1 in real time, but in hindsight I might not have taken the event seriously enough $BTC
— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) January 7, 2022
We'll see pic.twitter.com/6Hjvh6fe8v
On Saturday, Brandt added a follow-up tweet indicating that his previous chart does not necessarily tell the whole story.
Some view predictions as a "one-and-done" event. I am student of Bayesian probability. Predictions and analysis must always morph relative to the events of the time. When circumstances change, predictions must change. The parabola might not be the driving force in $BTC
— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) January 8, 2022
The analyst has previously indicated on Twitter that parabolic advance violations can lead to a more than 80% drop in value, which would take Bitcoin down to the range of $8,340 from current prices.
He cautioned traders who are buying the dip in Bitcoin, and reflected on the massive decline in the silver market over 40 yeas ago.
I remember in 1980 people saying the same thing about Silver $SI_F after it topped at $50
— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) January 7, 2022
It then sank to a low of $3.65 and did not start back up for 24 years
Not saying $BTC is the same, but a sacred trading rule I have used is never add to a losing trade
Meanwhile, today's Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index is at a level not seen since July 21, 2021.
Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index is 10 - Extreme Fear
— Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index (@BitcoinFear) January 8, 2022
Current price: $41,789 pic.twitter.com/xPsBPG8q8z
Bitcoin was priced at $41,570.72 on Saturday, falling 0.40% in the previous 24 hours.
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