In the world of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), two names stand out: Grayscale Bitcoin Trust GBTC and iShares Bitcoin Trust IBIT.
While both track the same index, the CME CF Benchmarks Bitcoin BTC/USD Reference Rate-New York Variant, their performance, assets under management (AUM), and technicals reveal some intriguing contrasts.
Despite GBTC’s superior price performance, IBIT boasts a larger AUM.
Let’s dive into the details to understand this puzzling disparity.
A Tale of Two Bitcoin Titans
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) and iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) are categorized under currency ETFs. Both were launched in January 2024, with GBTC debuting on the 11th and IBIT on the 5th.
Despite the similarities, their financial metrics and market traction differ significantly.
| Metric | GBTC | IBIT |
|---|---|---|
| Issuer | Digital Currency Group, Inc. | BlackRock, Inc. |
| Expense Ratio | 1.50% | 0.12% |
| AUM | $17B | $19B |
| Shares Outstanding | 309M | 540M |
Data Source: VettaFi ETFdb
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Performance Metrics: GBTC Shines Bright
GBTC has delivered impressive returns over various periods, outshining IBIT, which lacks long-term performance data due to its recent inception.
| Period | GBTC | IBIT |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week | -0.87% | -0.78% |
| 2 Weeks | -6.16% | -6.00% |
| 1 Month | -10.70% | -10.66% |
| 3 Months | -8.59% | -8.40% |
Data Source: VettaFi ETFdb
Despite GBTC’s stellar performance, it trails IBIT in AUM. As of now, IBIT holds $19 billion compared to GBTC’s $17 billion.
Technical Analysis: Neck and Neck
Both ETFs show similar technical indicators, reflecting their parallel tracking of Bitcoin’s reference rate.
However, GBTC’s higher performance figures might suggest better investor sentiment or trust.
| Technical Indicator | GBTC | IBIT |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Day MA | $57.58 | $36.94 |
| 60 Day MA | $57.89 | $37.09 |
| MACD 15 Period | -2.51 | -1.59 |
| MACD 100 Period | -3.46 | -2.14 |
| RSI 10 Day | 39.07 | 39.31 |
| RSI 20 Day | 43.1 | 43.21 |
| RSI 30 Day | 46.06 | 45.97 |
| Lower Bollinger Band (10 Day) | $52.29 | $33.55 |
| Upper Bollinger Band (10 Day) | $57.81 | $37.08 |
| Lower Bollinger Band (30 Day) | $52.71 | $33.82 |
| Upper Bollinger Band (30 Day) | $65.05 | $41.71 |
Data Source: VettaFi ETFdb
Decoding the Discrepancy
So why does IBIT, with its modest returns, have a higher AUM? The answer might lie in investor confidence and fee structures. BlackRock's lower expense ratio of 0.12% compared to GBTC's 1.50% likely appeals to cost-conscious investors, driving larger inflows despite the lag in performance.
Additionally, BlackRock’s reputation and vast resources could contribute to greater investor trust and thus a higher AUM. On the other hand, GBTC’s higher expense ratio might deter some investors, despite its better price performance.
The comparison between GBTC and IBIT underscores a classic investment conundrum: choosing between higher performance and lower fees.
While GBTC dazzles with its returns, IBIT attracts with its affordability and brand trust. For investors, the decision hinges on their priority—immediate performance or long-term cost efficiency.
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