With Bitcoin BTC/USD breaking above $66,000, 10x Research predicts a swift move towards $70,000 and new all-time highs, fueled by stablecoin minting, monetary stimulus in China and renewed altcoin activity.
What Happened: The 10x Research analysts led by Markus Thielen highlighted in their latest report that since the Federal Reserve's September rate cut, Bitcoin and Ethereum ETH/USD have surged 5% and 11%, respectively.
Some altcoins also experienced more impressive gains like Ethena ENA/USD, Sei SEI/USD and Shiba Inu SHIB/USD reported gains of 54%, 51%, and 36%, respectively.
The analysts point out several factors driving the uptrend:
Stablecoin Minting
The uptrend is supported by accelerating stablecoin minting, with nearly $10 billion issued in recent weeks, surpassing Bitcoin ETF flows.
Circle, the company behind USDC and known for catering to regulated institutions, has accounted for 40% of recent stablecoin inflows, signaling increased interest from larger market players. Year-to-date, stablecoin inflows have reached $35 billion, pushing the total value of outstanding stablecoins to $160 billion.
Altcoin Activity Spike
The report highlights a DeFi renaissance followed a drop in bond yields, with Aave‘s AAVE/USD lending platform fees reaching $43 million in August, surpassing the previous peak of $42 million in March 2024. Bitcoin’s dominance has waned post-FOMC meeting, while Ethereum gas fees have spiked due to increased altcoin activity.
Also Read: Bitcoin Is 97% Sure To Close The Month Above $60K—But What Are The Chances It Even Hits $70K?
Retail Trading
Retail crypto trading in South Korea has seen daily volumes of around $2 billion, with Shiba Inu reclaiming the top spot in trading volume, signaling rising speculation. Chinese over-the-counter brokers have reported consistent quarterly inflows of $20 billion for the last six quarters, totaling around $120 billion.
China Stimulus Plan
The report suggests that the $278 billion Chinese stimulus plan, combined with potential capital outflows from China, could trigger a “parabolic rally” in cryptocurrency prices. 10x Research predicts Bitcoin will reach $70,000 in the next two weeks, with new all-time highs expected by late October.
Interestingly, this surge coincides with Bitcoin’s 30-day realized volatility dropping to 41%, potentially allowing institutional traders to take larger positions. The report concludes that the likelihood of a Q4 rally is “exceptionally high,” with gains likely front-loaded and FOMO returning to the altcoin market.
What’s Next: The influence of Bitcoin as an institutional asset class is expected to be thoroughly explored at Benzinga’s upcoming Future of Digital Assets event on Nov. 19.
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