Bitcoin, Stablecoins Will Gain From Trade War, Experts Say: 'The Map Is Being Redrawn' (CORRECTED)

Editor’s note: a quote in the story has been updated and corrected.

As economic fault lines deepen between the United States and China, the ripple effects are reverberating beyond traditional markets and into the crypto sector.

The latest move, a 125% tariff increase on US goods announced by China, comes as a direct counter to Washington's own tariff hike earlier in the week.

But instead of plunging into volatility, the digital asset market has remained surprisingly stable.

What Happened: Bitcoin BTC/USD continues to trade above $82,000 and total crypto market capitalization holds around $2.6 trillion.

Analysts say this isn't apathy—it's a reflection of structural shifts in investor behavior.

"Bitcoin's stability is not a complacency bounce," analysts at Bitfinex told Benzinga. "This is a repositioned market—long-term holders are accumulating while shorter-term participants have exited. The market front-ran macro stress back in February and March."

While the relative calm might appear reassuring, several industry leaders caution against reading too much into the momentary stillness.

“Bitcoin is holding up well because it's increasingly viewed as an alternative to the traditional financial system—a defensive asset, much like gold, which has just reached new all-time highs,” said Georgii Verbitskii, founder of TYMIO. “In the context of growing distrust between global powers, triggered by tariff escalations, countries are clearly seeking safety in hard assets.”

Bitcoin mining, for example, is increasingly exposed to geopolitical friction due to China's dominance in ASIC hardware manufacturing.

A prolonged trade standoff could slow equipment exports, tighten supply, and raise costs—especially for U.S.-based miners.

"The mining map is being redrawn," said Bitfinex analysts. "Countries like Malaysia, the UAE and Kazakhstan are now emerging as safer hubs, not just due to electricity prices but because of geopolitical insulation."

Arthur Azizov, founder of B2 Ventures, told Benzinga that while Chinese manufacturers dominate the mining hardware landscape, many of them operate production lines in Southeast Asia, which may soften direct impacts.

Also Read: Trump Signs Landmark Crypto Law, Repeals Biden-Era IRS Rule Targeting DeFi Platforms

Why It Matters: However, the broader risk remains: global trade fragmentation is rewriting how miners source equipment and plan expansion.

One emerging consensus among experts is that protectionist policy trends are pushing investors toward politically neutral assets for cross-border settlement.

Bitcoin and stablecoins, both dollar-denominated and cryptographically verifiable, are increasingly viewed as viable tools in a multipolar world.

"Rising tariffs highlight the need for neutral settlement," said David Henderson of Backed Finance. "Bitcoin and well-regulated stablecoins, being borderless and less politically influenced, offer a compelling alternative for cross-border value transfer in a fragmenting world."

Institutions are likely balancing risk-off moves towards established crypto with a longer-term view on the need for alternative financial infrastructure.

"These assets aren't tied to any one central authority," said. "That makes them highly attractive when trust in traditional monetary systems is under stress."

Dr. Jennifer Dodgson, co-founder of KIP Protocol, emphasized that market psychology remains fragile despite the recent resilience.

The "extreme fear" rating on the crypto fear and greed index, currently at 25, reflects lingering concerns.

Still, she noted that China's decision to halt additional tariff retaliation has provided temporary relief to markets, including digital assets.

Institutional investors, meanwhile, are adopting more measured strategies.

Instead of chasing volatility, many are rotating into cash, bonds and gold while slowly building longer-term exposure to crypto assets.

This includes exploration of tokenized real-world assets and decentralized finance infrastructure.

"Institutions are hedging against tail risks but not abandoning the space," said Bitfinex. "They're watching for signs of macro clarity, at which point risk-on positions may return. Until then, it's about capital preservation."

The current trade environment points toward a broader structural shift underway in global finance.

As trust in multilateral cooperation erodes, decentralized technologies are filling the void.

Whether Bitcoin and stablecoins become cornerstones of that new system is questionable, but one thing is clear: they're no longer fringe alternatives but fast becoming central to how capital moves in a divided world.

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