Sales Decline And Margin Compression To Ail Best Buy's Q1 Earnings: Analyst Highlights Challenges

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  • Telsey Advisory Group analyst Joseph Feldman maintained a Market Perform rating on Best Buy Co., Inc. BBY with a price target of $81. Best Buy will release its first quarter results on May 25. 
  • Feldman expects the quarterly results to see sales decline and margin compressions, primarily dragged by challenging macro trends in recent times.
  • Overall weakness in the economy is likely to weigh on discretionary consumer demand amid high inflation and rising interest rates, the analyst notes.
  • Given the above factors, the analyst estimates a sales decline of (10.1%) in 1Q to $9.6 billion. 1Q EPS is expected to be $1.24, down (20.8%) Y/Y.
  • By segment, the analyst expects Domestic revenues to fall (10%) Y/Y, while International revenues are expected to decline at (7.0%).
  • In the last reported fourth quarter, Domestic revenue decreased 9.8% Y/Y, and International revenue fell 12.2%. Enterprise comparable sales decreased by 9.3%.
  • In the quarter to be reported, Feldman sees an operating margin contraction of ~90 bps to 3.7%.
  • Helping offset tough comparisons, Best Buy should benefit from new categories, digital, and solid execution, the analyst adds.
  • The analyst sees Best Buy as one of the better operators in retail in the long term.
  • Feldman says the company will gain particularly from efficient operations, solid cash flow generation, and a strong management team. 
  • Price Action: BBY shares are trading lower by 3.29% to $70.64 on Friday's last check. 
  • Photo via Wikimedia Commons
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