Stocks Fall As Oil Prices Spike, 10-Year Yields Top 4%, Energy Sector Outperforms: What's Driving Markets Monday?

Zinger Key Points
  • Wall Street opens lower as geopolitical tensions escalate following the one-year anniversary of Hamas' Oct. 7 attack in Gaza.
  • WTI crude surges 3% to $77 per barrel, marking its fifth consecutive day of gains, driven by concerns over potential Israeli retaliation.

Wall Street started the week in the red, as traders weighed the economic and geopolitical fallout from escalating tensions in the Middle East.

Monday marked the one-year anniversary of Hamas’ October 7 attack, which triggered the ongoing war in Gaza. The situation is now threatening to spread across the region, as Israel considers retaliating for last week’s missile attacks from Iran.

By 1 p.m. ET, the major indices were modestly lower, with the S&P 500 down 0.5% and the Dow Jones off by 0.7%. The Nasdaq 100 also slid 0.5%. The energy sector was the only bright spot, buoyed by surging oil prices.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, as tracked by the United States Oil Fund USO, jumped over 3%, climbing to $77 per barrel. This rally marked its fifth consecutive session of gains, fueled by concerns that Israel may retaliate against Iran, a key oil producer, for its involvement in regional conflicts.

Last week’s blowout U.S. labor market data, coupled with rising oil prices and fresh stimulus measures out of China, pushed 10-year Treasury yields above 4%, setting the stage for the highest levels since late July. Investors appear increasingly wary of long-duration bonds, sending the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF TLT down 0.6%, extending its losing streak to four sessions.

Market sentiment around the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decisions has also shifted. The probability of the Fed refraining from cutting interest rates next month has dropped to just 17%, according to CME FedWatch Tool,

Rising yields weighed heavily on metals, with gold down 0.4% to $2,645 per ounce and silver dropping 1.3%. Meanwhile, Bitcoin BTC/USD gained 1.4%, trading at $63,682.

Monday’s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs

Major IndicesPriceChg %
S&P 5005,724.31-0.5%
Nasdaq 10019,930.58-0.5%
Dow Jones42,059.07-0.7%
Russell 20002,191.35-0.8%
Updated at 1:30 p.m. ET

According to Benzinga Pro data:

  • The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY edged down 0.5% to $570.38.
  • The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average DIA fell 0.7% to $420.90.
  • The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series QQQ fell 0.5% to $485.21.
  • The iShares Russell 2000 ETF IWM tumbled 0.8% to $218.77.
  • The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund XLE outperformed, up 0.8%. The Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund XLU lagged, down 1.7%.

Monday’s Stock Movers

  • Super Micro Computer Inc. SMCI rallied 14% after the company announced it is currently shipping more than 100,000 graphics processors per quarter and unveiled a new suite of liquid cooling products.
  • Everest Group Ltd. EG plummeted over 8% after Morgan Stanley lowered its price target on the stock from $450 to $430.
  • Constellation Brands Inc. STZ fell nearly 2% after Bank of America downgraded the stock from Outperform to Neutral and lowered the price target from $300 to $255.
  • Bank of America also downgraded several healthcare stocks including Concentra Group Holding Parent Inc. CON, down 4.6%; AMN Healthcare Services Inc. AMN, down 1.9%; Brookdale Senior Living BKD, down 6% and U.S. Physical Therapy Inc. USPH, down 2.5%.

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