Yet Another Analyst Slashed Alibaba's Price Target, Outlook Following China's Covid Outbreak

  • Benchmark analyst Fawne Jiang reduced the price target on Alibaba Group Holding Ltd BABA to $220 from $235 (104.3% upside) and kept a Buy rating on the shares. 
  • Jiang cut her fiscal Q4 revenue forecasts in China commerce direct sales to reflect the disruption of offline businesses due to COVID lockdowns.
  • Jiang lowered International Retail growth to reflect weakness in Aliexpress.
  • Jiang dropped her cloud revenue growth view to reflect COVID-induced project delays on top of slower growth in the Internet sector.
  • The cuts led her to reduce her overall year-over-year revenue growth view to 6% from 9% previously. 
  • However, at the current valuation, the market "seems to have written off the value" of Alibaba's critical assets in the cloud, logistics, international and local services, leading Jiang to view the risk/reward as "substantially positively biased" for long-term investors.
  • Citi recently slashed Alibaba's price target following a Covid resurgence in China.
  • Price Action: BABA shares traded lower by 4.36% at $102.99 on the last check Thursday.
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