Mizuho Slashes Google's Price Target By 14% To Reflect Headwinds For Its Cloud, Advertising Businesses

  • Mizuho analyst James Lee's Alphabet Inc GOOG GOOGL Google advertising call indicated 2Q22 pricing trends remained strong from mix shift to travel/services, increased offline retail demand, and ad pricing inflation. 
  • However, he believed consensus FY23 revenue growth of 15% Y/Y appeared aggressive given the likelihood of consumer spending slowdown. 
  • Also, his cloud computing call indicated CIOs were likely to reduce FY23 spending growth by 10 points from the slowing economy. 
  • Therefore, he believed consensus GCP's revenue growth of 32% Y/Y was aggressive. 
  • Lee cut his FY24 EBITDA by 8% to $146 billion, roughly 6% below consensus.
  • Lee reiterated a Buy on the stock and reduced his price target from $175 to $150. 
  • He expected Alphabet to be more resilient than peers, given its diverse advertiser base capturing offline and service revenues. 
  • Price Action: GOOG shares traded lower by 3.43% at $111.10 on the last check Friday.
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