SEMrush Analyst Sees Ample Upside Despite Macro Headwinds Hindering Q4 Revenue

  • Needham analyst Scott Berg reiterated a Buy on SEMrush Holdings, Inc SEMR with a $20 price target.
  • SEMrush reported much better than expected 3Q22 financial results as strong sales execution bested incremental macro headwinds
  • The 3Q22 ARR growth and customer count were all within typical Q3 seasonality patterns. 
  • However, management guided 4Q22 revenue below the consensus estimate as some new headwinds are lengthening the sales cycles for more significant enterprise renewals and extensions. 
  • He views the new guidance as appropriately risk-adjusted, given uncertain Q4 close rates. 
  • The company has made significant progress in relocating its operations, and he expects this to be fully reflected in 4Q22 expenses. 
  • Lastly, he was intrigued with the company's new App Center, a product strategy he had seen other software vendors utilize effectively to drive incremental revenue over time.
  • Price Action: SEMR shares traded lower by 4.90% at $9.52 on the last check Wednesday.
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